TQQQ is the cleanest, most liquid 3x Nasdaq-100 ETF, with tight spreads and a reasonable 0.82% yearly fee. TQQQ has outperformed QQQ and peers over the past 15 years, driven by a secular tech bull market and recently AI. This made me rethink my approach to leveraged investing. For short-term AI rebound trades, I still favor SOXL over TQQQ; semiconductors capture the most upside if an AI hype cycle is to reignite. Long term, I am considering TQQQ.
ProShares UltraPro QQQ ETF offers significant long-term upside but comes with extreme volatility and risk due to its triple leverage. TQQQ can experience violent drawdowns in volatile markets but historically outperforms indices during recoveries, making pullbacks potential buying opportunities. I am watching for TQQQ to drop to around $90 before turning bullish, expecting big tech and strong earnings to drive future gains.
ProShares UltraPro QQQ is positioned to benefit from accelerating AI spending and major deals in the Data Center industry. TQQQ's portfolio is increasingly concentrated in Magnificent 7 tech stocks, especially Nvidia, Microsoft, and Apple, reflecting strong AI-driven growth. Recent multi-billion-dollar AI deals and explosive Data Center demand signal a favorable backdrop for a robust third-quarter tech earnings season.
ProShares UltraPro QQQ's 3x leverage can amplify losses significantly if bought near a market top; August conditions suggest caution. Upside momentum in Big Tech is fading, while a number of indicators point to a potential equity top. High rates of decline, daily rebalancing, and swap-contract value decay make math-based recovery from losses in TQQQ extremely difficult for late-cycle buyers.
The ProShares UltraPro QQQ offers leveraged exposure to U.S. large-cap tech, especially magnificent 7 stocks benefiting from the AI boom. The ETF has delivered exceptional returns, with a 384% NAV increase in the last 10-year period, far outpacing the S&P 500. TQQQ's concentration in volatile tech stocks and use of leverage create significant risk and potential for amplified losses.
TQQQ offers significant long-term upside due to its triple leverage, but it comes with extreme volatility and risk of large drawdowns. I expect strong Q2 earnings and a likely Fed rate cut in September, which could propel TQQQ and the broader market higher. TQQQ's mechanics—daily 3x leverage and rebalancing—mean it can outperform in bull markets but suffer outsized losses in downturns.
When it comes to investing, you may need to accept more risk to get more reward. While both TQQQ and VOO carry risk, one option may be far more volatile than the other.
A few months ago I made a bearish call on the TQQQ ETF that worked out pretty well. The ETF is down about 7.75% since my article published. This worked out pretty well for anybody following my call, but big tech's actual earnings performance was better than I expected.
US stocks have rebounded sharply, with QQQ up nearly 30% since April lows, fueled by renewed 'buy the dip' sentiment. Tariff concerns have eased, and investor greed is returning as markets anticipate continued gains and clear skies ahead. Despite the rally, I believe now is the time to exercise caution and not get swept up in the prevailing optimism.
The ProShares UltraPro QQQ (NASDAQ:TQQQ), iShares Ethereum Trust ETF (NASDAQ:ETHA), and VanEck Semiconductor ETF (NASDAQ:SMH) are all soaring today.
The ProShares UltraPro QQQ ETF has seen a significant valuation drop due to market turmoil, presenting a buying opportunity for long-term investors focused on AI-driven tech growth. TQQQ is attractive due to its overweight in 'magnificent 7' stocks like Microsoft, Apple, and Nvidia, all poised for AI-related gains. TSMC just reported a 42% Y/Y gain in its top line amid a continual boom in AI spending. Gartner also projects massive gen-AI spending in AI.
We apply leverage in a dynamic and disciplined way to achieve aggressive growth. The ProShares UltraPro QQQ ETF is our fund of choice for leverage exposure. Despite recent corrections, I remain on the sideline due to the combination of high valuation risk and high VIX index.