Australia's Woodside Energy said on Wednesday it had entered an agreement with Malaysia's state-owned Petronas to supply 1 million metric tons of liquefied natural gas per annum for 15 years, starting 2028.
Domestic energy opportunities continue to draw investor attention as data center growth and utility demand ramps up. However, investors appear to have a less firm grasp on energy export expectations, specifically in relation to liquefied natural gas (LNG).
Cheniere Energy is well-positioned for future growth, driven by rising global LNG demand, data center expansion, and energy security concerns. Strong revenue growth, stable margins, and robust liquidity support ongoing capacity expansion and dividend payouts, justifying the recent price surge. Valuation remains reasonable with some upside potential, despite technicals showing consolidation and a more neutral short-term sentiment.
GLNG struggles with rising expenses, a weak earnings outlook and global trade uncertainties pressuring performance.
Pampa Energía is transforming resilience into structural expansion, advancing major projects like shale oil, LNG, and crude export despite short-term margin pressure. Q2 2025 results showed lower revenues and profits, but strategic investments and a strong balance sheet position the company for future growth. Valuation remains attractive, with Pampa Energía trading at a steep discount to global peers and its own history, while profitability and projected growth are strong.
GLNG's second-quarter 2025 earnings decrease year over year while revenues improve.
TotalEnergies stands out with a diversified portfolio, strong LNG presence, and resilient financials, even amid lower oil prices. Ongoing growth is fueled by new upstream projects, expanding renewables, and strategic LNG deals, supporting future cash flow and production. Shareholder returns remain robust, with a 4%+ dividend yield and buybacks, underpinned by disciplined capex and manageable payout ratios.
Cheniere Energy, as the US LNG export leader, deserves a premium valuation of 11x-12x EV/EBITDA, implying a $270 fair value per share. Strong long-term take-or-pay contracts provide earnings visibility, while ongoing expansions and shareholder returns enhance growth prospects and stability. The company maintains a solid financial position with manageable debt, supported by reliable cash flows and recent favorable refinancing activities.
LNG expects full-year 2025 EBITDA of $6.6 billion to $7 billion and distributable cash flow of $4.4 billion to $4.8 billion.
National Grid PLC (LSE:NG.) has agreed to sell its Grain LNG business to a consortium comprising Centrica and Energy Capital Partners (ECP), part of Bridgepoint Group, for £1.66 billion, including a pre-completion dividend.
I rate Venture Global a 'Hold' due to strong LNG market growth offset by cyclical risks, overinvestment, and declining profitability metrics. Deregulation and global demand support revenue growth, but intense competition and potential overproduction threaten future pricing and margins. Profitability, ROIC, and free cash flow have deteriorated, while heavy debt and aggressive growth assumptions leave no room for execution missteps.
LNG signs long-term deal with JERA for supplying 1 mtpa of liquefied natural gas from 2029 to 2050, tied to Henry Hub prices.