AvalonBay Communities, Inc. ( AVB ) Q3 2025 Earnings Call October 30, 2025 1:00 PM EDT Company Participants Matthew Grover Benjamin Schall - President, CEO & Director Kevin O'Shea - Executive, CFO & Treasurer Sean Breslin - Chief Operating Officer Matthew Birenbaum - Chief Investment Officer Conference Call Participants Jana Galan - BofA Securities, Research Division Steve Sakwa - Evercore ISI Institutional Equities, Research Division Nicholas Joseph - Citigroup Inc., Research Division John Pawlowski - Green Street Advisors, LLC, Research Division Adam Kramer - Morgan Stanley, Research Division Austin Wurschmidt - KeyBanc Capital Markets Inc., Research Division James Feldman - Wells Fargo Securities, LLC, Research Division John Kim - BMO Capital Markets Equity Research Richard Hightower - Barclays Bank PLC, Research Division Alexander Goldfarb - Piper Sandler & Co., Research Division Michael Stefany - Mizuho Securities USA LLC, Research Division Ami Probandt - UBS Investment Bank, Research Division Alex Kim - Zelman & Associates LLC Presentation Operator Good afternoon, ladies and gentlemen, and welcome to AvalonBay Communities Third Quarter 2025 Earnings Conference Call. [Operator Instructions] Your host for today's conference call is Matthew Grover, Senior Director of Investor Relations.
AVB's Q3 results fall short of estimates, prompting the REIT to trim its 2025 outlook despite steady rent and occupancy gains.
The headline numbers for AvalonBay (AVB) give insight into how the company performed in the quarter ended September 2025, but it may be worthwhile to compare some of its key metrics to Wall Street estimates and the year-ago actuals.
AvalonBay Communities (AVB) came out with quarterly funds from operations (FFO) of $2.75 per share, missing the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $2.81 per share. This compares to FFO of $2.74 per share a year ago.
Investors need to pay close attention to AVB stock based on the movements in the options market lately.
U.S. apartment rents post their first July-September decline since 2009, testing the resilience of major REITs ahead of third-quarter earnings.
U.S. equity markets pushed higher this past week - while short-term benchmark interest rates plunged to three-year lows - after employment data provided decisive evidence of cooling labor markets. Viewed by markets as a "Goldilocks" set of reports, the reports showed slowing - but still positive - job growth in August alongside consistent evidence of cooling wage pressures and emerging slack. A notable milestone after several years of ultra-tight labor markets, the number of job seekers surpassed the number of available job openings for the first time since April 2021.
AVB witnesses stronger-than-expected NOI growth and boosts its suburban and expansion region portfolio mix.
The REIT market has been highly volatile lately. The earnings season is leading to great opportunities to buy the dip. I highlight two of my favorite opportunities right now.
AVB's prime-market portfolio and strong balance sheet support growth, but supply pressures and delayed development occupancies pose challenges.
Earnings season volatility creates bargain opportunities; AVB's price drop offers a compelling entry for long-term dividend and value investors. AVB's resilient Q2 results, strong occupancy in established regions, and robust development pipeline support its long-term growth outlook. With shares trading below historical valuation, AVB presents a rare chance to buy a high-quality REIT at a discount with strong upside potential.
AvalonBay's recent results highlight mixed performance, with expense control offset by weaker rent growth and rising bad debt concerns. Demand softness, especially from a weaker jobs market, is pressuring rent growth and occupancy, leading to cautious management guidance for the rest of 2024. Development delays are mostly one-time, but a larger pipeline may be an overhang given uncertain rental market demand.