When I invested in Direct Line in 2022, I thought it looked like an attractive turnaround and I still think I was right. This investment was a bumpy ride to nowhere, and it's one of the main reasons why I no longer invest in turnarounds. Direct Line's equity, assets, earnings and dividends have all gone nowhere over the last ten years, giving the business a negative overall growth rate.
As investments go, Direct Line has been a mixed bag. The shares initially fell more than 50% shortly after I'd bought them, and then rebounded by about 100% following a recent takeover offer from Aviva. Although I do think Direct Line has the makings of a high-quality business, in 2022, it was still in the throes of its post-RBS turnaround.
Direct Line's recent operating performance has improved, showing progress in its turnaround program, despite past weak trends and high claims inflation. The company's focus on underwriting profitability and cost-cutting measures is expected to lead to a return to profitability and higher ROE by 2025. Direct Line's shares are undervalued, trading at 0.86x book value, making it an attractive value play with potential upside from future takeover interest.
Insurance - Property & Casualty Industry | Financial Services Sector | Mr. Adam Charles Winslow CEO | OTC PINK Exchange | - ISIN |
GB Country | 9,053 Employees | 4 Apr 2025 Last Dividend | 30 Jun 2015 Last Split | - IPO Date |
Direct Line Insurance Group plc is a leading provider of general insurance products and services within the United Kingdom. The company, initially founded in 1985, has its headquarters in Bromley, UK. Initially known as RBS Insurance Group Limited, it underwent a name change to Direct Line Insurance Group plc in February 2012, marking a significant milestone in its corporate history. It operates across different segments including Motor, Home, Rescue and Other Personal Lines, and Commercial, catering to a wide range of insurance needs. Direct Line sells its products directly to customers, through price comparison websites, over the phone, and via partnerships and brokers. The company boasts a portfolio of well-known brands such as Direct Line, Churchill, Privilege, Darwin, Green Flag, and others, each offering specialized insurance solutions.