The mean of analysts' price targets for Elastic (ESTC) points to a 35.7% upside in the stock. While this highly sought-after metric has not proven reasonably effective, strong agreement among analysts in raising earnings estimates does indicate an upside in the stock.
Elastic stands out as a "growth at a reasonable price" investment with mid-teens growth, strong retention, and trades at under 5x revenue, making it attractive after a recent 15% pullback. Its valuation sits well below other 10-15% growth peers in enterprise software, such as Salesforce and Workday. Elastic's FY26 guidance is conservative, but historical outperformance and robust customer metrics suggest the market is overly pessimistic.
The mean of analysts' price targets for Elastic (ESTC) points to a 30.1% upside in the stock. While this highly sought-after metric has not proven reasonably effective, strong agreement among analysts in raising earnings estimates does indicate an upside in the stock.
I maintain my Buy rating on Elastic as valuation remains attractive, and growth drivers are accelerating, especially with GenAI adoption. Recent earnings show strong fundamentals: Elastic Cloud grew 23% y/y, and new strategic partnerships with AWS, NVIDIA, and Google expand market reach. Go-to-market execution has improved, with record-large customer additions and evidence that the GTM reset is now a tailwind for growth.
Elastic N.V. (NYSE:ESTC ) Q4 2025 Earnings Conference Call May 29, 2025 5:00 PM ET Company Participants Anthony Luscri - Vice President, Investor Relations Ashutosh Kulkarni - Chief Executive Officer Navam Welihinda - Chief Financial Officer Conference Call Participants Pinjalim Bora - JP Morgan Sanjit Singh - Morgan Stanley Raimo Lenschow - Barclays Tyler Radke - Citi Howard Ma - Guggenheim Securities Kash Rangan - Goldman Sachs George Iwanyc - Oppenheimer Brent Thill - Jefferies Operator Good afternoon, and welcome to the Elastic N.V.
The headline numbers for Elastic (ESTC) give insight into how the company performed in the quarter ended April 2025, but it may be worthwhile to compare some of its key metrics to Wall Street estimates and the year-ago actuals.
Elastic (ESTC) came out with quarterly earnings of $0.47 per share, beating the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $0.37 per share. This compares to earnings of $0.21 per share a year ago.
Besides Wall Street's top -and-bottom-line estimates for Elastic (ESTC), review projections for some of its key metrics to gain a deeper understanding of how the company might have fared during the quarter ended April 2025.
I am upgrading Elastic (ESTC) to a buy rating due to signs of growth acceleration and attractive valuation at 4.2x forward revenue. ESTC's AI and cloud strategies are gaining momentum, with significant customer adoption and positive forward booking metrics indicating future growth. Cloud revenue growth has shown signs of recovery, with a 40bps sequential acceleration in 3Q25, suggesting the GTM transition is largely over.
Elastic is a great "buy the dip" stock that offers great growth at a very reasonable price. Elastic's valuation is incredibly appealing at 5.2x EV/FY26 revenue, lower than peers like Salesforce and ServiceNow, despite consistent growth and strong performance. What distinguishes Elastic versus many of its software peers is that its growth rates and net revenue retention trends have barely decelerated.
The stock market has been in the middle of a sell-off, and the technology industry is bearing the brunt of the downside. At the time of this writing, the tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite was down 11% from its all-time high, whereas the more diversified S&P 500 index has declined by 7%.
Elastic (ESTC 14.41%) is a provider in search AI technology, offering solutions for search, observability, and security. On Feb. 27, 2025, it released its third-quarter earnings for fiscal 2025, showcasing standout results that surpassed both internal and analyst forecasts.