LVMH Moët Hennessy - Louis Vuitton, Société Européenne (OTCPK:LVMHF) Q2 2025 Earnings Conference Call July 24, 2025 12:00 PM ET Company Participants Cecile Cabanis - Chief Financial Officer Rodolphe Ozun - Corporate Participant Conference Call Participants Antoine Belge - BNP Paribas Exane, Research Division Carole Gladys Madjo - Barclays Bank PLC, Research Division Charles-Louis Scotti - Kepler Cheuvreux, Research Division Daria Nasledysheva - BofA Securities, Research Division Edouard Aubin - Morgan Stanley, Research Division Erwan Rambourg - HSBC Global Investment Research Louise Susan Singlehurst - Goldman Sachs Group, Inc., Research Division Luca Giuseppe Solca - Sanford C. Bernstein & Co., LLC.
An investment group led by LVMH's private equity arm is buying 20% of private jet company FlexJet. L Catterton, the private equity firm backed French luxury giant LVMH, is leading an $800 million investment in FlexJet that will also include brand partnerships and collaborations.
LVMH Moët Hennessy - Louis Vuitton, Société Européenne's share price decline is a rare retracement within a long-term uptrend, not a sign of permanent damage to the business. The current contraction is simply a normalization after unsustainable post-pandemic growth, with luxury demand remaining strong and resilient. LVMH is now undervalued, trading well below historic multiples, offering a rare opportunity for long-term investors and an attractive dividend yield.
LVMH's 44% share price drop reflects normalization after post-pandemic excess, not structural decline. Current sentiment and expectations are notably low. Valuation is now attractive: LVMH trades below historical averages and peers, with earnings- and cashflow-yields implying modest, achievable residual growth assumptions. Recent financials are bumpy, but this is industry-wide. Negative sentiment may set the stage for positive surprises.
Louis Vuitton (OTCMKTS: LVMHF) founder and chief executive officer (CEO) Bernard Arnault has been buying LVMHF shares quite aggressively.
LVMH's scarcity-driven strategy preserves brand equity and pricing power, enabling strong margins and resilience even during economic slowdowns. Controlled supply across flagship maisons like Louis Vuitton and Dior ensures exclusivity, full-price sales, and customer loyalty, minimizing the need for discounting. Despite a modest Q1 2025 revenue dip, LVMH's diversified segments and vigilant management maintain healthy cash flow and dependable returns for investors.
LVMH's business remains under pressure, with Q1 showing a rare -3% organic sales contraction and Q2 expected to be similarly weak due to tariff-induced demand disruption and soft Chinese consumption. Luxury demand is bottoming out, and historical patterns suggest a turnaround is likely in H2 2025, as global consumer sentiment stabilizes and trade risks become clearer. Despite near-term headwinds, LVMH's valuation has become attractive, trading ~20% below its historical average P/E, offering a compelling entry point for long-term investors.
LVMH faces real challenges, including revenue declines and external factors like tariffs and China's economic slowdown, but remains a high-quality, well-managed company. Despite poor Q1 results, LVMH's strong brand, expertise, and capital allocation support a long-term investment thesis. Valuation scenarios show potential for recovery, but the duration of challenges impacts intrinsic value; cautious optimism is warranted.
LVMH faces challenges with China's stalled growth and struggles with new products, despite strong heritage brands and selective consumer demand. Temporary headwinds include unsustainable pandemic-driven demand and a weak macro environment, impacting LVMH's fashion and leather goods segment. A creative turnaround should be sufficient to overcome headwinds. Strategic acquisitions and the Arnault family's stock accumulation signal confidence in LVMH's long-term prospects, despite the current valuation reflecting a less optimistic outlook.
LVMH CEO Bernard Arnault said on Thursday that if the United States and the European Union did not find a solution on tariffs, it would be Brussels' fault.
LVMH Moët Hennessy -- Louis Vuitton (LVMUY -4.36%) (LVMHF -3.47%) was being punished on Tuesday, following Monday's release of a dispiriting quarterly revenue report. In mid-session action, investors continued to sell out of the company's stock -- its American depositary receipts (ADRs) were down by nearly 4%, at a point when the benchmark S&P 500 (^GSPC -0.14%) was only sagging by 0.2%.
Hermès surpassed LVMH's valuation on Tuesday after Bernard Arnault's company reported disappointing sales. The 3% decline in first-quarter sales compared with a 2% rise forecast by analysts.