Mondelēz International is rated a Buy, trading below intrinsic value with strong brands and recovery potential. MDLZ expects over $3 billion in 2025 free cash flow, despite recent declines from cocoa disruptions and weak consumer demand. Dividend yield is elevated at ~3.64%, with aggressive buybacks signaling management confidence but raising sustainability questions.
Mondelez holds a durable global moat built on dominant brands, retailer dependence and decentralised execution that adapts quickly to local demand. Despite severe cocoa inflation, the company protected margins for years which shows real pricing power. The balance sheet is strong with safe dividends and room for a future credit upgrade.
MDLZ posts a strong Q3 but trims its outlook as retailer destocking, soft Europe demand and tariff uncertainty cloud near-term momentum.
MDLZ faces record cocoa costs and rising elasticity as it works to rebuild margins through pricing resets and productivity gains.
Rose's Income Garden (RIG) portfolio highlights four October dividend raises, including Altria (MO), Mondelez (MDLZ), WP Carey (WPC), and Philip Morris (PM). MO and PM, both 'sin' stocks, delivered consecutive dividend increases, with MO yielding 7.52% and PM offering a notable 8.89% raise, despite valuation concerns. MDLZ and WPC also raised dividends, with MDLZ considered undervalued and a buy, while WPC is a quality hold, but currently overvalued for new purchases.
MDLZ shares drop 6% as Q3 results show strong y/y sales but weaker profits and a softer 2025 forecast amid cocoa cost pressures.
Mondelez International, Inc. reported very weak Q3 results, reflecting the company's limited ability to shift cocoa inflation into pricing. Cocoa prices have started to moderate due to improved crops, setting up an earnings recovery for upcoming years. The implied Q4 EPS guidance already suggests stabilization. MDLZ stock is now undervalued as cocoa deflation should recover Mondelez's earnings power. I estimate 38% upside to $78.9.
Mondelez International, Inc. (NASDAQ:MDLZ ) Q3 2025 Earnings Call October 28, 2025 5:00 PM EDT Company Participants Dirk Van de Put - Chairman & CEO Luca Zaramella - Executive VP & CFO Conference Call Participants Andrew Lazar - Barclays Bank PLC, Research Division Peter Galbo - BofA Securities, Research Division David Palmer - Evercore ISI Institutional Equities, Research Division Megan Christine Alexander - Morgan Stanley, Research Division Thomas Palmer - JPMorgan Chase & Co, Research Division Christopher Carey - Wells Fargo Securities, LLC, Research Division Presentation Operator Good afternoon, and welcome to the Mondelez International 2025 Third Quarter Earnings question-and-answer session. [Operator Instructions] On today's call are Dirk Van de Put, Chairman and CEO; Luca Zaramella, CFO; and Shep Dunlap, SVP of Investor Relations.
Mondelez International (NASDAQ: MDLZ) reported Q3 2025 earnings that met adjusted profit expectations but fell short on revenue, leaving investors underwhelmed.
While the top- and bottom-line numbers for Mondelez (MDLZ) give a sense of how the business performed in the quarter ended September 2025, it could be worth looking at how some of its key metrics compare to Wall Street estimates and year-ago values.
Mondelez (MDLZ) came out with quarterly earnings of $0.73 per share, beating the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $0.72 per share. This compares to earnings of $0.99 per share a year ago.
The Chicago company now expects revenue to rise 4% on an organic basis for the year, rather than 5%, due to record-high cocoa prices and rising transportation costs.