PGJ: 3 Factors To Consider Before Investing
The Invesco Golden Dragon China ETF stands out right with its over 20% returns YTD, ahead of the Shanghai Composite and the S&P 500. Despite this, it's hard to fully get behind the PGJ story right now, as tariff flip-flops between the U.S. and China create uncertainty. Additionally, the Chinese economy continues to struggle, which can cast a shadow on the impressive growth in the technology sector.
The Hunt for AI Gains Is Lifting Chinese Stocks. Here's What You Need to Know.
As the U.S. wrestles China for AI dominance, investors are playing both sides.
Some of the Top China Stocks Reside in This ETF
Count stocks from China among this year's international standouts. Widely observed gauges of equities in the world's second-largest economy are outpacing both the S&P 500 and the MSCI Emerging Markets Index by comfortable margins since the start of this year.
Chinese Stocks Take Off On The Upside: The PGJ ETF Is Another Option For Exposure
A looming trade deal between the U.S. and China is bullish for the Chinese stock market. When Invesco Golden Dragon China ETF is compared to iShares China Large-Cap ETF, FXI appears to be a better choice. Seeking Alpha ETF Grades highlight the differences between PGJ and FXI.
PGJ: High Volatility And Structural Challenges Ahead
Invesco Golden Dragon China ETF has underperformed with a volatile history and an annualized total return of only 4.7% since inception. PGJ is heavily concentrated in consumer discretionary stocks, making it highly sensitive to economic cycles and vulnerable during downturns. China's long-term structural challenges, including population decline, high household debt, and a housing market bubble burst, will likely hinder PGJ's future performance.
Bullish On China, But Not On PGJ
Chinese stocks appear undervalued and could offer diversification from US markets, which are currently priced for perfection. Valuations in China are much lower compared to the US, making it a contrarian buy, especially during periods of negative sentiment. Invesco Golden Dragon China ETF is holding mostly ADRs from technology companies, which comes with additional risks, which I am not comfortable with.
