Amid a weaker-than-expected U.S. economy in 2025, the Russell 2000-tracking Direxion Daily Small Cap Bull 3X Shares ETF has marginally underperformed the S&P 500. Looking ahead to 2026, the Russell 2000 should benefit from an acceleration in U.S. GDP growth, a falling unemployment rate, and ongoing Fed rate cuts. The Russell 2000 offers a sizable ~35% trailing P/E discount relative to the S&P 500, partially stemming from its sizable (but declining) overweight position in cyclical sectors.
TNA offers 3x daily exposure to the Russell 2000, making it suitable for active traders but not for long-term investors. Small-cap stocks may struggle in an inflationary environment, even if interest rates decline, due to higher import costs and tighter margins resulting from tariff policy. Holding TNA beyond a single day exposes investors to compounding risks and value decay, especially during consecutive down days.
Weekly options are the ideal investment for turning small amounts of money into large amounts.
Direxion Daily Small Cap Bull 3X Shares (TNA) is a triple leveraged ETF tracking the Russell 2000, aiming for 300% of daily benchmark movement. Despite long-term bullishness on the Russell 2000, current market volatility necessitates caution with TNA, emphasizing short-term holding strategies. Leveraged ETFs like TNA are best held short-term due to volatility and loss recoupment risks, making them suitable for playing market catalysts.
The stock market has been in a tumultuous, volatile state lately — and one U.S. politician is betting that small-cap stocks will see the best returns going forward.
A new presidential administration and an inflection point for the Federal Reserve are adding a high degree of uncertainty to the market. That could bring forth heightened volatility.
The Direxion Daily Small Cap Bull 3X Shares ETF seeks to deliver 300% (3x) the return of the Russell 2000 index. Russell 2000 components currently trade at a trailing earnings yield of roughly 6.2%, well above the S&P 500's 4.10% forward earnings yield. The outlook for Russell 2000 earnings growth is bright thanks to a strong US economy, a low payout ratio, and benefits from Fed policy normalization.
A Santa Claus rally can benefit all market capitalization sizes, including small-caps. The Russell 2000 index is already up more than 20% for the year.
The prime indicator of small-cap performance, the Russell 2000, is up almost 9% the past five days. As such, small-cap equities are having their own post-election rally and it could sustain itself through the rest of the year and beyond.
The Direxion Daily Small Cap Bull 3X Shares ETF (TNA) seeks to deliver 300% of the daily performance of the Russell 2000 index. Russell 2000 companies issue more floating rate debt relative to S&P 500 components - a key tailwind during Fed easing. Lower valuations and a smaller payout ratio are likely to drive Russel 2000 outperformance over the medium term.
Small-caps historically outperform large caps due to growth potential and margin expansion. The Magnificent 7 have attracted capital flows to large companies, leaving smaller ones forgotten. Small-caps are not cheaper due to structural problems, but rather due to lack of investor interest, making them a potential opportunity.
Small-caps can make amplified moves toward the upside, but they can also burn short-term traders on the downside. This is why it pays to be strategic in volatile times like now with leveraged and inverse exchange-traded funds.