TUR: Investing In The Turkish Economy
iShares MSCI Turkey ETF offers diversified exposure to Turkey's high-growth sectors—industrials, financials, and consumer defensives—positioning it for potential upside amid economic reforms. Risks like currency depreciation, high inflation, and political instability remain significant and could undermine returns for USD-based investors. TUR's lower expense ratio and broader diversification make it more appealing than ITKY, but concentrated holdings and low liquidity add to the risk.
TUR: Less Optimism Than Before, Still A Hold
The iShares MSCI Turkey ETF faces significant challenges, including a volatile Lira, high inflation, and recent political instability affecting market confidence. Inflation in TĂĽrkiye has been a major issue, reaching 85% YoY in 2022, but has shown signs of stabilizing with key interest rates falling. A recent 12% plunge in TUR's price was triggered by high-profile arrests, causing market uncertainty and potential continued sell-offs.
TUR: Not Easy To Take A Definitive Stance
Since December 2023, the iShares MSCI Turkey ETF has experienced a volatile journey while eventually underperforming global markets. Looking ahead, we feel quite ambiguous about TUR's prospects as the macroeconomic backdrop, the valuation picture, and the technicals all provide a conflicting image. Turkey's GDP prospects look underwhelming, but inflation appears to be trending lower, and the central bank has just kickstarted a movement of interest rate cuts that could persist through this year.
TUR: Turkish Equities Offer Potential High Returns, But Risks Are Still Too High
iShares MSCI Turkey ETF invests in Turkish equities with a high expense ratio of 0.59%. Despite the high expense ratio, the fund remains popular for those speculating on Turkish stocks, with $223 million in assets. TUR saw a significant increase of over 100% on a total return basis from late 2022 to present, after a period of stagnation.
TUR: Turkish Equities Offer Value Through The Volatility
TUR has continued its outperformance into 2024. Fundamentally, there's been plenty of support for this rally. And with valuations still undemanding, there might be more to come.
