I am upgrading Rubrik to a “buy” with a price target of $113 per share, offering 39% upside potential from current levels. Rubrik's Q2 FY26 saw revenue growth accelerate 51% YoY, narrowing losses and strengthening its cyber resilience platform through innovation, acquisition, and partnerships. Although management's guidance points to slowing revenue growth in Q3 and FY26, Rubrik remains undervalued versus peers like CrowdStrike, Zscaler, and Cloudflare, with similar growth rates.
Rubrik (NYSE:RBRK), a company focusing on cloud data management and data security, has experienced a 12% drop in its stock price over the last five trading days, despite announcing impressive earnings. This decline occurs amid investor dissatisfaction with the forward guidance, which the market perceives as modest compared to the stock's relatively high valuation.
Rubrik, Inc. (NYSE:RBRK ) Goldman Sachs Communacopia + Technology Conference 2025 September 10, 2025 12:30 PM EDT Company Participants Bipul Sinha - Co-Founder, CEO & Chairman Conference Call Participants Kasthuri Rangan - Goldman Sachs Group, Inc., Research Division Matthew Martino - Goldman Sachs Group, Inc., Research Division Presentation Kasthuri Rangan Head of Software Coverage This is a very special session. Can you hear me loud and clear?
Rubrik is capitalizing on strong trends in cyber resilience and enterprise AI, delivering robust revenue and ARR growth, but future growth rates are set to moderate. While free cash flow is scaling rapidly and margins are expanding, the stock trades at a premium valuation of ~72x forward free cash flow, limiting upside. The company's balance sheet is solid but not exceptional, and competition in cybersecurity could further pressure growth and valuation multiples.
Rubrik, Inc. (RBRK) came out with a quarterly loss of $0.03 per share versus the Zacks Consensus Estimate of a loss of $0.33. This compares to a loss of $0.4 per share a year ago.
RBRK eyes strong revenue growth in fiscal Q2, with partnerships and customer gains expected to drive momentum.
Data security firm Cohesity is eyeing a potential initial public offering in 2026. Chief Executive Sanjay Poonen told CNBC that he expects "comparable or superior valuation" to peers like Rubrik and Commvault.
Rubrik shows strong revenue growth and improving margins, with a clear path to profitability, though breakeven is likely 2-3 years away. The company benefits from a sticky, integrated product suite and secular cybersecurity tailwinds, but faces intense competition and dilution risks from stock-based compensation. Gross margins are healthy and rising, free cash flow is positive, and operational efficiencies are emerging, supporting a Rule of 40 profile.
Rubrik has delivered impressive financials and leads in cyber resilience, but growth is set to decelerate sharply from 50% to mid-20% next year. The company now forecasts ARR growth in FY26 of 26% to 27%. The stock trades at a stretched at 14x FY26 sales, and the market is wary of decelerating growth despite Rubrik's strong balance sheet and positive cash flow.
Rubrik's recent share price pullback offers a compelling entry point, as the company continues to deliver hyper-growth and improving free cash flow margins. Rubrik's unique preemptive recovery engine and expansion into identity recovery differentiate it in a massive, fast-growing market, supporting sustained 35%+ CAGR. Strategic moves like the Predibase acquisition and Annapurna initiative position Rubrik for long-term leadership in both data and identity security.
Rubrik is buying Predibase, whose technology helps with the deployment of artificial intelligence models. Bipul Sinha, Rubrik's CEO, said the technology will allow customers to build AI agents that draw on corporate data in a secure and cost-efficient manner.
Rubrik is a top long-term play, with accelerating growth and real AI-driven demand tailwinds, despite current macroeconomic fears. The company leads in data resilience, a unique cybersecurity niche, and is under 2% penetrated in a $53B TAM, offering huge runway. Q1 results were stellar: 49% revenue growth, 54% subscription growth, and its subscription ARR now covers the entirety of its FY26 revenue guidance, suggesting room for upside.