Current crude oil sentiment is extremely bearish, yet physical demand remains robust and inventories are low. Energy sector policy challenges and declining rig counts may limit U.S. production growth, further supporting bullish oil positioning. USOI's mechanical covered call strategy while not for us, is likely to work over the next 6-9 months in generating solid returns.
The USOI ETN's strong distribution yield has offset crude oil's negative fundamentals, delivering 3.4% total returns since September. However, with OPEC+ plans to increase production by 2.2 million barrels over two years, increasing oil supply may cap oil prices and act as a headwind. Furthermore, President Trump's tariff policies are expected to slow global growth and oil demand, worsening oil price fundamentals.
USOI: Bullish Oil Technicals, Strong Seasonality, Mixed Fundamentals (Rating Upgrade)
| NASDAQ (NMS) Exchange | US Country |
USOI is an innovative financial instrument that presents a unique approach within the crude oil investment sector. It stands out by leveraging the potential income from oil futures while aiming to manage the associated risks and volatility commonly experienced in this market segment. The essence of USOI’s strategy revolves around exploiting the returns from the USCF's popular oil ETF, USO, which usually tracks the price movements of front-month crude oil futures contracts. This is combined with a distinct mechanism: the establishment of a notional short position in call options on USO that are set to expire in the following month and are placed 6% out of the money. This method is designed to add a layer of yield to the investment and to mitigate the volatility that might otherwise be experienced when directly holding positions in the USO ETF or crude oil futures themselves. However, it’s crucial to note this approach comes with a limitation on the upside potential of the investment. The strategy inherently caps gains in rising markets due to the short call positions, making USOI's performance trajectory potentially divergent from that of crude oil futures under certain market conditions. A key feature of USOI is its target of providing monthly yield distributions to investors, making it a noteworthy option for those seeking regular income from their investment in the energy sector, albeit within the structured framework of an Exchange Traded Note (ETN).
USOI is structured to generate income through exposure to oil futures, combining this exposure with an innovative options strategy. This income-oriented approach targets investors seeking to capitalize on the oil markets while aiming to provide a buffer against its inherent volatility.
The core of USOI's strategy involves mirroring the return of the USCF's United States Oil Fund (USO), a well-known ETF that tracks the price of front-month crude oil futures contracts. To this base, USOI adds a unique twist by entering into notional short positions in USO call options. These options, which have strike prices 6% out of the money, are set to expire the following month, introducing an additional yield component to the investment and moderating the volatility associated with direct exposure to oil futures.
USOI sets itself apart by aiming to distribute yield to investors on a monthly basis. This feature is characteristically aligned with the expectations from an ETN, providing a potential income stream to investors who are interested in the energy sector but are looking for more predictable returns than what straightforward commodity investments typically offer.