Japan's stock market is hitting new highs due to strong fiscal flows from government spending, current account surplus, and rising bank credit creation. Government spending at over 4% of GDP, a positive current account balance, and increasing bank credit creation are driving aggregate demand and asset market growth.
EWJ has barely moved since our HOLD rating on it 11 months ago, and has underperformed global stocks. Japanese authorities are taking efforts to boost the investing climate for domestic investors. Despite offering similar long-term earnings growth as global stocks, Japanese stocks can be picked up at a 25% discount.
Asian stock markets are trading lower on Monday, following negative cues from Wall Street on Friday. Investor sentiment has been impacted by concerns over higher inflation after the US imposed new tariffs over the weekend.
Japan presents significant opportunities amid normalization and corporate reforms in the long-run. Short term risks are significant considering issues such as the weak Yen with appreciation pressure and shaky politics. Equities are relatively cheap compared with global peers but with good reasons.
Japan's market transformation towards shareholder-friendly initiatives and low earnings multiples make EWJ's current consolidation a buying opportunity, despite recent underperformance. EWJ offers diversified exposure to large and mid-cap Japanese equities, with a low 14.7 P/E ratio and a PEG ratio under 1.5. Technical analysis shows EWJ at trendline support with potential for bullish momentum, despite a bearish death cross and flat 200-day moving average.
ETFs, online retail and health care are the focus of today's Big 3. One thing that connects these names are upward trends on their charts.
Japanese equities have been volatile, but the iShares MSCI Japan ETF remains steady, offering exposure to large and mid-sized Japanese companies. EWJ benefits from the yen's strengthening due to its unhedged nature, outperforming its hedged counterpart, HEWJ, amid USDJPY declines. Despite BoJ's hawkish stance, EWJ's attractive portfolio, valuation, and bullish chart signal a potential breakout to new highs.
TOKYO — Japan's economy grew at an annual rate of 3.1% in the April-June period, rebounding from the contraction in the previous quarter, government data showed Thursday.
The “real” policy rate is massively negative, with the new policy rate of 0.25% far below Core CPI of 2.6%. When QT reaches about ¥3 trillion per month in 2026, it would represent a reduction of its JGB holdings of about 0.5% per month.
EWJ tracks the MSCI Japan index with 210 stocks, has 0.5% expense ratio. EWJ has delivered solid return in the current bull market, with a good earnings growth outlook. The fund's valuation is not expensive, and has appreciation potential due to weakening U.S. dollar.
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