Sibanye Stillwater is a diversified global commodity producer, offering exposure to gold, PGMs, silver, lithium, nickel, copper, and more. Despite tripling YTD, SBSW's stock still undervalues its potential, with strong financials, strategic assets, and upcoming catalysts like a likely dividend resumption. SBSW's commodity mix provides a natural hedge for various economic scenarios, benefiting from both precious and industrial metal demand.
Sibanye Stillwater Limited (NYSE:SBSW ) Q2 2025 Earnings Conference Call August 28, 2025 8:00 AM ET Company Participants Charl A. Keyter - CFO, Interim Chief Commercial & Development Officer and Executive Director Charles Carter - Chief Regional Officer of Americas Grant Stuart - Corporate Participant James R.
Sibanye Stillwater's transformation into a global, diversified metals producer positions it to benefit from rising platinum and gold prices, tax credits, and operational discipline. U.S. platinum operations are now profitable due to higher prices, cost-cutting, and government tax breaks, while South African gold mines have become the company's earnings engine. The balance sheet is stronger thanks to streaming deals and cash flow improvements, even as the company navigates palladium headwinds and volatile commodity prices.
I think that the self-inflicted turmoil and pivot from Europe by Norilsk Nickel (SBSW's rival) creates a massive market vacuum that Sibanye Stillwater is uniquely positioned to capture. Sibanye Stillwater's turnaround is driven by cost cutting, U.S. PGM operations, and surging South African gold profits, with government incentives boosting cash flow. Sibanye's internal turnaround is firing on all cylinders: US operations are cutting costs by 27% while its South African gold division's EBITDA surged 216%.
My recent bullish call on SBSW played out with a 45% gain, driven by cyclical turn, cost cuts, and stabilizing PGM prices; rally expected to continue. Despite FY24 revenue dips, cost controls improved EBIT. EBITDA stabilized, with SA gold operations booming (+216% YoY in H2) and set to dominate 2025 earnings. Strong liquidity, debt below 1.1x pro-forma, US tax credits, and massive EPS revisions (FY26 up from $0.04 to $0.64) fuel optimism and low forward P/E ratios.
Sibanye Stillwater Limited maintains deep value attributes, driven by favorable macroeconomic factors like lower global interest rates and improved industrial production in most G20 nations. Despite palladium's EV-driven headwinds, we see a strong cyclical recovery in PGM prices emerging. Despite recent operational challenges, including a cyber-attack, Sibanye's production and cost management looks set to improve.
I reiterate my “Buy” rating for Sibanye Stillwater stock despite recent underperformance, expecting a reversal driven by cost-cutting measures and potential higher PGM prices. Sibanye's financials show mixed results, with increased PGM production but lower selling prices, leading to a 54% YoY drop in EBITDA and a negative bottom line. Strategic initiatives, including debt covenant uplift, refinancing, and operational restructuring, have bolstered Sibanye Stillwater's balance sheet, enhancing financial flexibility and positioning for future profitability.
Sibanye Stillwater Limited (NYSE:SBSW ) Q2 2024 Earnings Call Transcript September 12, 2024 8:00 AM ET Company Participants Neal Froneman - CEO Richard Stewart - Chief Regional Officer, Southern Africa Mika Seitovirta - Chief Regional Officer, Europe Charl Keyter - CFO Robert Van Niekerk - Chief Technical and Innovation Officer Charles Carter - Chief Regional Officer, Americas Grant Stuart - Head of Recycling James Wellsted - EVP, IR and Corporate Affairs Conference Call Participants Chris Nicholson - RMB Morgan Stanley Adrian Hammond - SBG Securities Rene Hochreiter - Sieberana Research, NOAH Capital Nkateko Mathonsi - Investec Bank Leroy Mnguni - HSBC Neal Froneman Ladies and gentlemen, good afternoon and good morning. On behalf of the C-suite, welcome and thank you for taking time out of your busy schedules.
Sibanye Stillwater has secured a refinancing package, enhancing its interim liquidity. Operational challenges persist, with the firm's U.S. PGM operations at risk. However, I think investors have already priced this in. South Africa's load-shedding has abated, and a regional interest rate pivot is likely. This could lead to higher asset valuations.
Sibanye-Stillwater on Thursday said its IT systems had been the subject of a cyberattack causing limited disruption to its global operations.
Despite poor financial results and liquidity concerns, there is a cyclical upward momentum that may lead to a medium-term price rise for Sibanye Stillwater Limited. The company is actively restructuring and implementing cost-cutting measures, which may lead to significant savings in the future. The market's negative perception of future prospects and the potential for higher prices of key PGM metals support the potential upside for SBSW.