TFI International remains pressured by weak freight demand, inflation, and soft consumer spending, yet strategic fleet management and liquidity provide resilience. TFII benefits from LTL industry undercapacity as bankruptcies reduce competition, supporting pricing power and potential rate increases in the LTL segment. Valuation is compelling with TFII trading at 0.94x sales, below its five-year average, and technicals indicate emerging buying momentum after overselling.
GS agrees to divest its Polish asset management unit stake to ING, completing ING's move to full ownership pending 2026 approvals.
TFI International faces ongoing macro headwinds, but strategic management and diversified operations help maintain profitability and efficiency. The company's strong cash flow, prudent debt management, and young fleet provide resilience and capital flexibility despite industry softness. Valuation metrics and technicals indicate the stock is undervalued, with risks already priced in and momentum showing early signs of recovery.
Municipal bond funds like TFI are best suited for investors with a marginal tax rate of 24% or higher, due to tax-equivalent yields. Open-ended ETFs like TFI avoid large discounts/premiums to NAV but carry minimal redemption risk given the liquidity of municipal bonds. TFI's expense ratio of 0.23% is reasonable, balancing between lower-cost index funds and higher-cost active management.
TFI International remains undervalued, delivering strong free cash flow, low leverage, and disciplined capital allocation despite a prolonged freight downturn. Operational efficiency improvements and technology adoption are driving margin gains, even with weak volumes, and management is guiding for further margin expansion. The company trades at a significant discount to U.S. peers despite a strong track record of acquisitive growth, EPS compounding, and shareholder returns.
TFI International remains resilient despite soft freight demand, with strong cash flow and prudent cost management supporting its operations. Expansion in the Truckload segment and strategic acquisitions offset weakness in LTL and Logistics, enhancing business flexibility and cross-border advantage. Valuation has become more attractive after a significant price correction, with technicals showing early signs of recovery and new buying opportunities.
TFI International is undervalued, trading at 7.8x EV/EBITDA, significantly below peers like Old Dominion Freight Line and XPO Inc. Despite a tough freight market and tariff impacts, TFI has strong free cash flow, low leverage, and is focusing on stock buybacks over M&A. Operational improvements and cost efficiency position TFI for margin expansion once the freight market stabilizes, with potential catalysts like easing tariffs and macro stabilization.
United States tariffs tied to trade imbalances, digital services taxes, and sensitive sectors like autos, semiconductors, and pharmaceuticals could create uncertainty for software and human capital management companies, analysts at UBS have highlighted. President Donald Trump on Wednesday announced sweeping tariffs, including a baseline 10% on all imports and higher rates for specific countries like China and the European Union.
TFI International, Inc. shows stable topline growth amid its expansion and an erratic environment. Excellent liquidity is one of its core strengths. The market is geared towards its recovery, so its sustained acquisition can help it accommodate new demand.
With the GOP in control, extending current tax rates beyond 2025 is uncertain, and inflation concerns may limit Fed rate cuts to just two. The SPDR Nuveen Bloomberg Municipal Bond ETF (TFI) is analyzed but earns a Sell rating due to its lower risk/return performance compared to peers. Despite a high-quality portfolio with mostly AAA or AA-rated bonds, TFI's effective duration and built-in NAV deterioration are concerns.
TFI International is a large North American logistics company, but mixed segment performance and economic uncertainties make me rate it as a Hold. FY2023 saw significant revenue and earnings declines; In 2024, LTL segment has struggled, while Truckload and Logistics segments showed promise. Key risks include fuel price volatility, labor shortages, and aggressive financial targets, which could impact future performance and investor confidence.
After the closing bell on Monday, TFI International TFII reported weaker-than-expected earnings for the third quarter.