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Financial performance shows revenue growth and improved margins, with Crocs repurchasing shares and paying down debt, enhancing shareholder value. Exciting partnerships with brands like McDonald's have driven brand momentum, although the HEYDUDE brand continues to lag in performance and enthusiasm. Despite risks like potential trade tensions, Crocs' strong brand and strategic marketing moves for HEYDUDE make it a compelling long-term investment.
Crocs' post-pandemic growth has slowed, making it less suited for long-term growth investors but appealing as a two-year value play with a projected EV CAGR of ~15%. The valuation model assumes 3.5% revenue growth, EBITDA margin at 26%, and EV-to-EBITDA expansion to 9.5, yielding a December 2026 EV of $10.783 billion. International expansion presents opportunities but also risks, as cultural adaptation and competition could affect revenue and margin stability.
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Crocs (CROX) reported earnings 30 days ago. What's next for the stock?
CROX is poised for long-term growth, driven by strong consumer demand, strategic initiatives and brand awareness amid challenging macroeconomic conditions.
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3 Growth Stocks Down 40% to Buy Right Now
Crocs stock dipped ~19% despite better-than-expected results due to lower HEYDUDE performance expectations and EBIT margin pressure for 2025. Management's focus on brand building over performance marketing for HEYDUDE will likely lead to higher SG&A expenses and slower revenue growth in the near term. Historical guidance cuts for HEYDUDE raise concerns about market perception of future guidance, potentially limiting investor excitement.
Crocs' growth drivers include international expansion, sandals, and robust gross margins, despite a slowdown in revenue and HeyDude's underperformance. Q3 results exceeded guidance, but stock dropped due to slower revenue growth and HeyDude's continued weakness, despite strong EPS growth. CROX's international segment, especially in China, shows significant long-term potential with new store openings and strong brand positioning.