iShares MSCI Brazil Small-Cap ETF is analyzed for its potential to deliver higher long-term returns than its large-cap counterpart. Focus is placed on the ETF's underlying holdings, emphasizing valuations, business quality, and growth rates over macroeconomic predictions. Short-term market noise and macro forecasts are intentionally disregarded to provide a clearer view of EWZS's investment prospects.
After years of volatility and underperformance, Brazilian small caps (via EWZS) are staging a strong rebound fueled by shifting global capital flows. Unlike commodity-heavy large caps, many small caps focus on Brazil's local economy, making them prime beneficiaries of a domestic recovery. Institutional buying and rising on-balance volume confirm that the current rally is backed by real money, not just hype.
Brazilian small-cap stocks have suffered recently and face further risks amid new trade war tensions, but they are very undervalued. Brazil's economic growth is expected to fall below 3% due to higher interest rates, trade war risks, and global macro tensions. The Central Bank may cut interest rates later this year to counteract inflation and a weaker currency.
EWZS's poor performance is attributable to the depreciation of the Brazilian Real. The US-China trade war can boost Brazil's exports to China and help the BRL stabilize. Further interest rate hikes are expected in Brazil due to the rising government debt. Monetary tightening can also support the BRL.
Investing in Brazil has been challenging due to US tech stock dominance, but long-term potential exists. Consider investing in small-cap Brazilian stocks like EWZS to capture domestic growth and economic activity. EWZS offers exposure to various industries in Brazil, with a focus on industrials and consumer discretionary sectors.
The Brazilian stock market and real are the worst performers globally in 2024. Despite poor performance, Brazil has controlled inflation, an independent central bank, and investment opportunities. With an attractive ROE and a very cheap P/E, the ETF looks like a great opportunity.
EWZS provides exposure to Brazilian small-cap stocks, offering diversification across various segments with differing risk profiles. The current valuation of EWZS suggests it is undervalued, presenting an opportunity for potential appreciation amid improving macroeconomic conditions. Risks include domestic macroeconomic scenario, fiscal policy uncertainty, and potential impact of tighter monetary policies on company profits.