Stocks may be rallying today , but Bitcoin (BTC) is still stuck in the mud.
Upgrade iShares Bitcoin Trust ETF (IBIT) to buy as risk/reward improves amid recent sell-off and technical wash-out signals. IBIT and bitcoin have experienced significant drawdowns, but high volatility and record ETF outflows suggest capitulation selling is underway. Technical analysis points to a $77,000 downside target for bitcoin, with potential for further buying opportunities if prices dip another 5-10%.
IBIT has sold off over 15% in the last month, as Bitcoin broke from stocks and gold, and saw its moving averages turn into a clean bearish stack. Technically, the bears are reigning in both the one and six-month timeframes. The chart suggests buying now is catching a falling knife. IBIT's current level of 58 is a pivot point, with a recent bounce off 57 providing a temporary floor for a bounce, but is potentially a bull trap.
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