The iShares Core MSCI EAFE ETF invests in developed markets outside the U.S. and Canada, principally Japan, the United Kingdom, France and Germany. IEFA has outperformed the S&P 500 so far in 2025, benefiting from low starting valuations and a weak U.S. dollar. Looking ahead to 2026, I estimate that GDP growth in countries where IEFA invests should accelerate to 1.23%, up from 1.01% in 2025.
One of the top-of-mind themes for advisors and investors in 2025 has been the resurgence of international equities. As of October 10, the widely followed MSCI EAFE Index was higher by 24.1% since the start of the year.
The iShares Core MSCI EAFE ETF invests in developed market equities outside the United States and Canada. I estimate countries in which IEFA invests will only deliver 1% GDP growth in 2025, 0.4% weaker than the United States. Even so, compared with the SPY, IEFA offers a more attractive earnings and dividend yield, more than offsetting weaker future growth.
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iShares Core MSCI EAFE ETF (IEFA) is recommended as a "sell" due to sub-par diversification, historical underperformance, and macroeconomic headwinds. An equity market-neutral strategy, shorting IEFA and going long SPY, offers potential for generating alpha while mitigating market risk. IEFA's high correlation with U.S. equities undermines its effectiveness as a portfolio diversifier, despite its intra-fund diversification.
iShares Core MSCI EAFE ETF offers diversified exposure to developed markets outside the U.S., with a low expense ratio of 0.07% and 2,704 holdings. IEFA's sector and geographical diversification, with significant holdings in Japan, the U.K., and France, supports a balanced risk profile and potential for stable returns. Despite its diversification, IEFA's performance may not consistently outpace the S&P 500, especially during U.S. market downturns due to its implicit short-USD hedge.
iShares Core MSCI EAFE ETF has high exposure to European stocks. IEFA rebounded in 2022, but still underperformed the S&P 500 index in the long run. The fund's limited exposure to information technology sector relative to the S&P 500 index may drag its future performance.
Hello! This is MarketWatch reporter Isabel Wang bringing you this week's ETF Wrap. In this edition, we look at Europe exchange-traded funds on the back of the first interest-rate cut by the European Central Bank since 2019. Investors are fretting over whether there's room for these regional equities to build on their record-hitting rally so far this year.