The 10-year note crossed below 4.00% for the first time in over a year this week while the 2-year note hit its lowest level since September 2022. The yield on the 10-year note ended October 17, 2025 at 4.02% while the 2-year note ended at 3.46%.
The yield on the 10-year note ended October 10, 2025 at 4.05%. Meanwhile the 2-year note ended at 3.53% and the 30-year note ended at 4.63%.
The yield on the 10-year note ended October 3, 2025 at 4.13%. Meanwhile the 2-year note ended at 3.58% and the 30-year note ended at 4.71%.
The yield on the 10-year note ended September 19, 2025 at 4.14%. Meanwhile the 2-year note ended at 3.57% and the 30-year note ended at 4.75%.
The yield on the 10-year note ended September 5, 2025 at 4.10%, its lowest level since the beginning of April. Meanwhile the 2-year note ended at 3.51%, its lowest level since September 2024.
Our monthly market valuation updates have long had the same conclusion: US stock indexes are significantly overvalued, which suggests cautious expectations for investment returns. This analysis focuses on the P/E10 ratio, a key indicator of market valuation, and its correlation with inflation and the 10-year Treasury yield.
The yield on the 10-year note ended August 29, 2025 at 4.23%. Meanwhile the 2-year note ended at 3.59% and the 30-year note ended at 4.92%.
The yield on the 10-year note ended August 22, 2025 at 4.26%. Meanwhile the 2-year note ended at 3.68% and the 30-year note ended at 4.88%.
When it comes to planning strategically for future expenses, consumers have a number of ways to use their cash. One of the ways is through bond exchange-traded funds (ETFs), particularly of the ultra-short variety.
The yield on the 10-year note ended August 15, 2025 at 4.33%. Meanwhile the 2-year note ended at 3.75% and the 30-year note ended at 4.92%.
The yield on the 10-year note ended August 8, 2025 at 4.27%. Meanwhile the 2-year note ended at 3.69% and the 30-year note ended at 4.85%.
Our monthly market valuation updates have long had the same conclusion: US stock indexes are significantly overvalued, which suggests cautious expectations for investment returns. This analysis focuses on the P/E 10 ratio, a key indicator of market valuation, and its correlation with inflation and the 10-year Treasury yield.