Intel Corporation presents a compelling contrarian buying opportunity after a sharp post-earnings sell-off and bearish market overreaction. INTC's Q4 beat on EPS and revenue, but weak Q1 guidance—breakeven EPS, $11.7–12.7B revenue, 34.5% margin—drove sentiment sharply lower. Foundry operating losses (~$10.3B FY2025) and 18A node execution are key risks, but 2.5x tangible book value offers a downside buffer.
Could Intel be closer to winning new chipmaking contracts from Nvidia and Apple?
Intel Corporation's revenue growth looks muted into H1 FY26 as supply constraints, depleted buffer inventory, and delayed server wafers cap near-term upside despite healthy end demand. INTC's foundry pivot still lacks a major external customer, and any Apple-related upside would likely not drive meaningful revenue for at least two more years. Intel continues to lose share in data center compute and CPUs, missing the GPU-driven AI wave while AMD strengthens its competitive position.
Intel Corporation for Q4 2025 beat expectations, led by strong DCAI performance, but soft guidance due to supply constraints led to the INTC stock price plunging back from $43 per share. Intel DCAI's strong performance was offset by CCG's weakness, which was hindered by supply constraints that are expected to trough in Q1 but improve as the year progresses. In Q4, Intel Foundry released the lead vehicle for Intel 18A, Panther Lake, and is slowly gaining momentum as suggested by multiple rumors about customer wins and interest.
Intel Corporation faces persistent execution and supply bottlenecks, missing out on surging AI demand despite industry tailwinds. Q4 results showed revenue down 4.1% YoY to $13.7B, gross margin fell to 37.9%, and guidance signals further margin compression. INTC's next-gen 18A process is critical, but the company remains unproven in regaining competitiveness against TSMC.
CFO David Zinsner recently scooped up $250,000 worth of stock, reflecting “belief in Intel and commitment to creating shareholder value.”
Intel Corporation remains rated Hold, as recent DCAI margin improvements are offset by ongoing supply constraints and uncertain Foundry prospects. INTC's Q1 guidance disappointed, with revenue midpoint $12.2B and gross margin 34.5%, reflecting acute supply issues and pricing headwinds. Foundry continues to generate large losses, with management pushing major customer and revenue inflection expectations to 2027–2028.
Investors detest uncertainty, and the stock market has a habit of punishing it with extreme prejudice. In the days following its fourth-quarter earnings report, Intel NASDAQ: INTC stock experienced a violent sell-off, dropping approximately 21% to trade in the low $40s.
Intel (INTC) stock has declined by 21.8% in under a month, dropping from $54.32 on January 22, 2026, to $42.49 currently, due to a weaker than expected outlook for Q1 FY'26 and concerns about its foundry operations. What lies ahead?
Intel Corporation is at a major inflection point, driven by its advanced 18A manufacturing and Core Ultra Series 3 processors targeting the AI PC market. INTC's Core Ultra Series, powering over 200 PC designs, is positioned to capture a rapidly growing AI PC market expected to reach $25B by 2026. Despite recent revenue declines, INTC maintains market dominance, improves margins, and is undervalued relative to peers, supporting a bullish rating.
Intel (INTC) reportedly headline beats for the top and bottom lines in Q4 2025, representing its sixth straight revenue beat. INTC's balance sheet has significantly improved thanks to high profile equity investments, which has resulted in meaningful dilution. Q1 2026 guidance disappointed, with revenue and adjusted EPS forecasts below estimates and gross margins trailing recent quarters.
After its 17% pullback, Intel Corporation stock remains a Hold, as the stock is still up 130% from its August 2025 low and has already priced in a lot of growth optimism. The INTC Q1 FY2026 outlook missed estimates, with YoY declines in both revenue and gross margin, driven by supply constraints that are expected to recover in 2Q. Data center demand is strong, as shown by 15% sequential DCAI revenue growth in 4Q, but the rebound is expected to be bumpy in FY2026.