Super Micro (SMCI) doesn't possess the right combination of the two key ingredients for a likely earnings beat in its upcoming report. Get prepared with the key expectations.
SMCI could face a $1.5 billion revenue miss in 1Q FY2026 based on the new update, implying a 15% YoY decline caused by shipment delays into 2Q. Management sees robust AI demand, particularly for systems built on NVIDIA's Blackwell chips, and AI liquid-cooled solutions are showing accelerating adoption. FY2026 revenue guidance is reaffirmed at at least $33 billion, which implies approximately +74% YoY growth in 2H FY2026.
Super Micro Computer, Inc. remains a leading contender in the multi-year AI infrastructure buildout despite what appears to be a disappointing preliminary earnings release. SMCI maintains confidence in its $33B full-year revenue outlook, supported by a robust $12B design win pipeline and strong secular AI CapEx demand cadence. Recent SMCI price action shows a resilient bullish narrative and robust dip-buying, with technicals indicating buyers are absorbing volatility rather than panicking.
Susquehanna analyst Mehdi Hosseini recommends selling Super Micro Computer stock, and Rosenblatt analyst Kevin Cassidy recommends selling Intel stock. Super Micro Computer is a leading supplier of artificial intelligence (AI) servers, but there is nothing particularly unique about the company.
Super Micro Computer (SMCI) stock deserves a place on your watchlist. Here's why – it is presently trading within the support zone ($45.52 – $50.32), price points from which it has significantly rebounded in the past.
The AI data center hype has resulted in Super Micro Computer's shares doubling from April lows. However, financial results continue to disappoint. On Thursday, SMCI preannounced Q1/FY2026 results, with sales missing consensus expectations by almost 25%. In contrast to past business updates, the company abstained from providing preliminary earnings per share numbers.
Super Micro Computer shares fell after the company released weak preliminary results for its fiscal first quarter of 2026. The company said it expects to report $5 billion in revenue for the quarter, down from its previous guidance of $6 billion to $7 billion.
Super Micro Computer Inc (NASDAQ:SMCI) shares fell more than 7% in early Thursday trading as the AI server maker reported preliminary first quarter revenue that fell short of its previous guidance. The company said the shortfall was due to design win upgrades that shifted some expected revenue from the first quarter to the second quarter of fiscal year 2026.
Super Micro Computer's strong AI-driven growth meets rising competition and margin pressure, leaving the stock a Hold despite its discounted valuation.
Super Micro Computer is upgraded to a “buy” rating, reflecting an improved outlook after recent earnings and undervaluation versus peers. SMCI's revenue growth remains strong, but weak margins and operational efficiency remain key risks that must be monitored closely. Valuation metrics, including sub-1x forward EV/Revenue and a 0.375 PEG ratio, position SMCI as a deep-value opportunity in its sector.
The YieldMax SMCI Option Income Strategy ETF offers a high-yield, tactical way to gain exposure to Super Micro Computer performance. SMCY provides a 68% distribution yield, paid monthly, which is appealing to investors bullish on SMCI's Q3 earnings potential. Demand for Data Center capacity is sizzling amid strong and persistent demand from hyperscalers, creating long term growth upside for SMCI.
Vertiv Holdings' robust growth, AI-driven cooling innovations, and strong financial outlook position it ahead of Super Micro Computer in the data center race.