Focus on Howard Marks' principles: second-level thinking, market efficiency, value, risk, cycles, contrarianism, and patient opportunism for successful investing. Realty Income is a resilient REIT with a diversified portfolio, strong balance sheet, and reliable dividend growth, making it a Buy with a 20% target return. Camden Property Trust excels in high-growth markets with a strong balance sheet and well-covered dividends, recommended as a Buy with a 17% target return.
CPT is set to gain from its diverse A/B quality properties, technological enhancements and healthy balance sheet. Elevated supply and high interest rates ail.
I'm packing my retirement account with dividend-paying stocks. The thesis is simple: Dividend stocks have historically outperformed non-payers by a wide margin.
Camden has a history of growth, notable achievements, and consistent dividend increases, with a recent dividend announcement of $1.03 per share. Key risks include overdevelopment in their markets and rising interest rates, which could impact profitability and cash flow. Valuation models suggest Camden is undervalued by 11-13% based on historical yields while the Chowder Rule indicates a modest 8.78% annual return.
The market is experiencing volatility due to rising ten-year treasury yields and election uncertainties, impacting sectors like REITs, especially net lease and multifamily REITs. CPT is a leading multifamily REIT with a strong portfolio and a conservative capital structure. Multifamily market fundamentals are improving with strong demand, rent growth, and reduced new construction, benefiting CPT despite recent stock price declines.
Camden Property Trust (NYSE:CPT ) Q3 2024 Earnings Call November 1, 2024 11:00 AM ET Company Participants Kim Callahan - Senior Vice President, Investor Relations Ric Campo - Chairman and Chief Executive Officer Keith Oden - Executive Vice Chairman Alex Jessett - President and Chief Financial Officer Conference Call Participants Eric Wolfe - Citi Alexander Goldfarb - Piper Sandler Austin Wurschmidt - KeyBanc Capital Markets Brad Heffern - RBC Capital Markets Steve Sakwa - Evercore Rich Anderson - Wedbush Haendel St. Juste - Mizuho Jamie Feldman - Wells Fargo John Kim - BMO Capital Markets Ami Probandt - UBS Julien Blouin - Goldman Sachs Michael Lewis - Truist Securities Adam Kramer - Morgan Stanley Wes Golladay - Baird Linda Tsai - Jefferies David Guarino - Green Street Alex Kim - Zelman & Associates Kim Callahan Good morning, and welcome to Camden Property Trust Third Quarter 2024 Earnings Conference Call. I'm Kim Callahan, Senior Vice President of Investor Relations.
Although the revenue and EPS for Camden (CPT) give a sense of how its business performed in the quarter ended September 2024, it might be worth considering how some key metrics compare with Wall Street estimates and the year-ago numbers.
Camden (CPT) came out with quarterly funds from operations (FFO) of $1.71 per share, beating the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $1.68 per share. This compares to FFO of $1.73 per share a year ago.
Here is how Camden (CPT) and Allstate (ALL) have performed compared to their sector so far this year.
Camden Property Trust has outperformed other multifamily REITs, achieving a total return of 23.33% over five years, driven by its Sunbelt market focus. Despite challenges in 2024 due to elevated deliveries, the REIT maintains strong liquidity and solid credit ratings, with a conservative debt maturity schedule and sustainable dividend payout. The landscape for multifamily real estate is expected to improve in 2025 and 2026, and since the shares are fairly valued, I rate the stock as a buy.
I recommend diversifying your REIT portfolio with at least 10 REITs, highlighting VICI Properties, Camden Property Trust, and Broadstone Net Lease as buys. VICI Properties stands out for its iconic trophy assets on the Las Vegas Strip and a strong management team, despite tenant concentration risks. Camden Property Trust offers a well-diversified multifamily portfolio, primarily in sunbelt markets, and is poised for growth as new supply peaks in 2024.
Camden Property Trust will likely see a tailwind as the Federal Reserve is expected to cut rates, enhancing its attractive dividend yield. The apartment rental market is recovering from oversupply, benefiting Camden Property Trust's occupancy rates and rental growth. CPT showcases strong financial health with a reasonable valuation multiple.