Both Credo and Marvell are well-positioned to gain from the rapidly growing data center market. Let's find out which semiconductor stock is a better bet.
Credo's revenue growth is accelerating due to strong product adoption by hyperscalers, and a shift from AI training to inference workloads is another growth catalyst. The company is well-positioned for margin expansion through scale-driven operating leverage effects. I estimate another 500-600bps of EBIT margin improvement potential over the next few quarters. Valuations have moderated sharply and are now more attractive, especially since the company has simultaneously improved revenue and earnings growth expectations. This makes it a gift from Mr Market.
Credo Technology's stock possesses all the hallmarks of a "Strong Buy": robust revenue growth momentum, impressive operating leverage, and a fortress balance sheet. The company benefits from high demand for its high-speed connectivity solutions, driven by the ongoing AI investment spree and digital revolution. Risks include high revenue concentration from Amazon and potential impacts from geopolitical developments and tariffs, but the long-term investment outlook remains positive.
Credo Technology is benefiting from an innovative portfolio and expanding AI-driven market opportunities.
Credo launches its ultra-low power Lark Optical DSP family, designed to transform 800G optical transceiver technology.
Credo Technology Group's AEC market growth, driven by cloud partnerships, supports a 217% stock price increase, warranting a valuation assessment. AECs offer power efficiency and cost benefits over alternatives, with a projected 78% CAGR, benefiting Credo amid rising cloud AI infrastructure investments. Despite competition from Astera Labs and Marvell, Credo's strong growth and key customer relationships position it well in the expanding AEC market.
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Credo is a leading developer of Active Electrical Cables (“AECs”) which are advanced cables that are critical in high-speed data transmission making it well positioned in the AI revolution. The company has certain competitive advantages due to its SerDes technology. This can be seen in its high gross margins. Key risk facing Credo right now: most of its revenues come from a single client hyperscaler, resulting in concentration risk.
Credo's AECs are essential in AI data centers, driving 154% YoY revenue growth. A first-mover advantage and strong demand position it for continued outperformance. Trading at fair value near its 50-week MA, with an RSI of 43, CRDO stock offers an optimal entry. Profitability ramp will lower its P/E, supporting a $90 price target. High customer concentration, lack of long-term supply contracts, and rising competition pose risks. Despite this, its growth outlook justifies a sub-2% high-alpha portfolio allocation.
The recent tech sell-off hammered Credo investors, but it could have bottomed out last week. Credo's reliance on hyperscalers like AWS is a deep concern, but management's efforts to diversify revenue and projected 50% YoY growth for FY2026 offer optimism. AI infra spending isn't expected to collapse, although growth could slow. But CRDO's valuation has likely considered these risks.
CRDO, OOMA and PGR made it to the Zacks Rank #1 (Strong Buy) momentum stocks list on March 10, 2025.
Credo Technology reported strong Q3 earnings, beating expectations and raising Q4 revenue guidance, driven by robust AEC product shipments and expanding hyperscaler customer base. Despite 86% of Q3 revenues coming from Amazon's AWS, this concentration risk is mitigated by AWS's investment in Credo and potential diversification of suppliers. Credo remains undervalued with a forward valuation of 37x FY26 EBITDA appealing, given its entry into new markets and strong balance sheet.