Nebius Group (NASDAQ: NBIS) sentiment is doing something unusual.
Nebius Group is rated Buy, leveraging strong AI infrastructure positioning and robust neocloud market growth for continued upside. NBIS benefits from tailored hardware and software, energy efficiency, a strong Nvidia partnership, and a $17.4B Microsoft deal, supporting its competitive edge and expansion. Valuation implies 34% upside with a $166 target, with potential for additional upside from future deals, though estimates are very sensitive to assumptions.
Our highlight on the list this reporting period goes to Netherlands-based tech conglomerate, Nebius Group NV (NASDAQ:NBIS).
Nebius reports Q3 2025 earnings on November 11, with consensus revenue of $155.7 million and EPS of –$0.52. Annualized run-rate revenue guidance raised to $900 million–$1.1 billion, driven by strong enterprise demand and upcoming Blackwell GPU deployments. Q2 results showed 625% year-over-year revenue growth and positive core EBITDA, with group EBITDA losses narrowing 64% versus last year.
NBIS' launch of Aether, its AI Cloud 3.0 platform, signals a leap in secure, scalable infrastructure built to power enterprise AI innovation.
Sentiment is often a key theme of Senior V.P.
Nebius Group N.V. stock has continued to rise, up 70% since announcing a deal with Microsoft. The company's full-stack AI platform gives NBIS an edge in an otherwise crowded space. Capacity expansion and additional capital expenditures, coupled with this stack, make NBIS stock an attractive prospect.
NBIS' $17.4 billion Microsoft deal and surging AI demand spotlight how its ClickHouse and Toloka stakes can bankroll the next wave of expansion.
If you've never heard of Nebius Group (NASDAQ:NBIS) until recently, you're definitely not alone.
The first deal with a hyperscaler was announced earlier than I initially anticipated. This is a 5-year, $17.4B deal with Microsoft, which could extend to $19.4B. Nebius recently secured $4.2B in funding, mostly via convertible notes, minimizing near-term dilution risks. The round involves $3.16B in converts and $1.0B equity at $92.50. I see robust growth ahead: management guides to $900M–$1.1B ARR by year-end, the Street models triple-digit top-line growth for three years, and the CEO targets positive adjusted EBITDA in 2026.
Nebius is a leading AI infrastructure provider, securing major contracts with Microsoft, Cloudflare, and Shopify, validating its technical strength. NBIS's rapid revenue growth, improving operating leverage, and strategic global expansion position it for sustained profitability despite current high valuation multiples. Significant capital expenditures and increased debt are justified given robust demand and ambitious capacity targets, with favorable financing terms mitigating risk.
Nebius's current $26.6 billion market cap is over 100x its TTM revenue, highlighting high expectations and valuation risk. However, I believe it is a great high-risk-high-reward play because the probability of the company's success over the long haul is high. The mega-deal with Microsoft isn't just about revenue backlog, but also elevates NBIS's reputation and likely makes it a much more attractive borrower.