The price of Onsemi NASDAQ: ON is down 40% from its high but won't be for long because end-market normalization and mounting demand for its high-power semiconductor applications will collide in 2025. While the 2024 results are lackluster, the Q3 results align with the expectation growth will resume as soon as the first quarter of F2025 and accelerate as the year progresses.
Q3 earnings showed quarter-over-quarter revenue growth of 1.5% and a $0.02 normalized EPS beat—strategic share buybacks have used 75% of ON Semi's free cash flow over the last year. Management estimates ON Semi's combined-segment total addressable market will be $44 billion by 2027, with a CAGR of 18% from 2022, enhancing its growth prospects. Given cyclical industry risks and moderate 12-month price return prospects, I rate ON Semi a Hold, anticipating larger gains in late 2025 and 2026.
ON Semiconductor's Q3 2024 revenue decreased by 19.3% year-over-year due to slowing EV demand and excess inventory. Free cash flow margins improved to 16.7%, driven by reduced capital expenditures and enhanced cost efficiency. ON continues to secure silicon carbide supply deals, including a significant contract with Volkswagen for EV traction inverters.
ON's third-quarter 2024 performance reflects strong demand for business segment and end-market products.
CFRA's Angelo Zino maintains a Hold rating for Onsemi (ON) after earnings. Angelo says this is a company "not as exposed to A.I.
Chipmaker Onsemi projected fourth-quarter revenue and profit below Wall Street estimates on Monday, citing persistent soft demand for semiconductors in the auto sector.
ON Semiconductor (ON) beat third-quarter profit and revenue estimates Monday, but sales continued to decline and the chipmaker gave weak guidance.
The chip maker reported quarterly earnings and sales above Wall Street's estimates.
onsemi's third-quarter 2024 performance is likely to have reflected benefits from the increased adoption of its products in automobile and industrial end markets despite sluggishness.
The EV market is down right now, but won't be forever. This key auto chip supplier is leading the pack.
ON Semiconductor is facing macroeconomic uncertainty, stiff competition, and revenue decline due to inventory correction in the automotive and industrial markets.
ON's automotive prospects remain bright, attributed to its multi-year LTSAs and diversified offerings across ICE/ Hybrid/ EV platforms. The management already hints at demand stabilization, with demand inflection likely to occur in the second half of the decade. This is attributed to the government's intensified charging investments, the launch of mass-market EV models, and the lower borrowing costs as the Fed pivots.