UCO is a highly risky, leveraged ETF. Even during recent oil price spikes, UCO investors likely lost money due to the fund's structure and information lag. Long-term returns for UCO are poor.
Despite what may seem like an attractive price level for WTI crude, which was trading at US$61.30/bbl at the time of writing, we are staying away from this trade. Historically, we have been bullish on UCO whenever WTI crude drops to around $70/bbl, but current risks outweigh potential gains. Unless the Trump administration manages to seal major trade deals from the upcoming negotiations, business activity and consumer spending will likely begin to stall.
I recommend holding the ProShares Ultra Bloomberg Crude Oil ETF due to expected oil market surplus and increased global supply, which should pull prices down. The ETF aims to replicate twice the daily return of the Balanced WTI Crude Oil Index, making it suitable for short-term movements, not conservative investors. Oil prices have risen over 9% this year, driven by sanctions and cold weather, but the imbalance between supply and demand will likely stabilize prices.
| ARCA Exchange | US Country |
The company is focused on achieving its investment objective through a strategic approach that primarily involves investing in a range of financial instruments. These instruments include swap agreements, futures contracts, forward contracts, and option contracts, all of which are based on WTI (West Texas Intermediate) sweet, light crude oil. It is important to note that the company does not invest directly in oil, choosing instead to leverage these financial instruments as a means to participate in the oil market indirectly. This strategy is designed to navigate the oil market under normal market conditions, aiming to offer investors a unique avenue to gain exposure to oil prices without the complexities of direct commodity investment.
The company offers a unique investment approach through the use of various financial instruments that correlate with the price movements of WTI sweet, light crude oil. These are detailed as follows: