The yield on the 10-year note ended August 1, 2025 at 4.23% while the 2-year note ended at 3.69%. This is the lowest level for each bond yield in three months.
This article looks at the 10-year Treasury yield's historical trends since 1962, exploring its relationship with key economic indicators like the Fed Funds Rate (FFR), inflation, and the S&P 500. The 10-year Treasury yield has experienced dramatic fluctuations, ranging from a peak of 15.
The yield on the 10-year note ended July 25, 2025 at 4.40%. Meanwhile, the 2-year note ended at 3.91% and the 30-year note ended at 4.92%.
The yield on the 10-year note ended July 18, 2025 at 4.44%. Meanwhile, the 2-year note ended at 3.88% and the 30-year note ended at 5.00%.
The yield on the 10-year note ended July 11, 2025 at 4.43%. Meanwhile, the 2-year note ended at 3.90% and the 30-year note ended at 4.96%.
Our monthly market valuation updates have long had the same conclusion: US stock indexes are significantly overvalued, which suggests cautious expectations for investment returns. This analysis focuses on the P/E10 ratio, a key indicator of market valuation, and its correlation with inflation and the 10-year Treasury yield.
This article looks at the 10-year Treasury yield's historical trends since 1962, exploring its relationship with key economic indicators like the Fed Funds Rate (FFR), inflation, and the S&P 500. The 10-year Treasury yield has experienced dramatic fluctuations, ranging from a peak of 15.
The yield on the 10-year note ended June 27, 2025 at 4.39%. Meanwhile, the 2-year note ended at 3.3% and the 30-year note ended at 4.85%.
The yield on the 10-year note ended June 20, 2025, at 4.38%. Meanwhile, the 2-year note ended at 3.90% and the 30-year note ended at 4.89%.
The yield on the 10-year note ended June 13, 2025 at 4.41%. Meanwhile, the 2-year note ended at 3.96% and the 30-year note ended at 4.90%.
The yield on the 10-year note ended June 6, 2025 at 4.51%. Meanwhile, the 2-year note ended at 4.04% and the 30-year note ended at 4.97%.
Our monthly market valuation updates have long had the same conclusion: US stock indexes are significantly overvalued, which suggests cautious expectations for investment returns. This analysis focuses on the P/E10 ratio, a key indicator of market valuation, and its correlation with inflation and the 10-year Treasury yield.