MercadoLibre remains undervalued despite a challenging technical setup and recent underperformance versus Latin American equities and the S&P 500. MELI delivered strong Q1 revenue growth and user engagement, but shares fell sharply due to significant margin compression from aggressive long-term growth investments. I maintain a buy rating on MELI, with a revised fair value estimate of $2,475 based on $55 normalized EPS and a 45x P/E, reflecting robust out-year profit growth.
MercadoLibre's stock is down due to its declining profit margins. The company is making massive investments in e-commerce deliveries and acquiring credit card customers.
MercadoLibre is primed for a rebound after a ~30% stock decline despite accelerating growth, especially in Brazil. I see MELI benefiting from secular Latin American growth, with ~$20B quarterly GMV expanding at a mid-30s pace. MercadoPago, MELI's fintech arm, drives TPV at ~4x GMV and now contributes nearly half of total revenue.
MercadoLibre's Brazil growth accelerates as GMV, items sold, active buyers and shipping efficiencies strengthen, making it a key growth driver.
The latest trading day saw MercadoLibre (MELI) settling at $1, representing a +2.64% change from its previous close.
MercadoLibre's stock has fallen due to rising competition. Management said that online shopping in Latin America is just a fraction of what it is in the U.S. The company has a long track record of delivering strong growth.
MercadoLibre (MELI) concluded the recent trading session at $1, signifying a -2.71% move from its prior day's close.
MELI's rapid first-party expansion is strengthening assortment and pricing, but growing inventory-led commerce is reshaping profitability.
MELI and BABA are investing heavily for growth, but rising credit risk and AI ambitions are creating very different outlooks.
I have been adding to MercadoLibre on every leg down this June, and my finger is still on the buy button.
The latest trading day saw MercadoLibre (MELI) settling at $1, representing a +1.68% change from its previous close.
Investors often turn to recommendations made by Wall Street analysts before making a Buy, Sell, or Hold decision about a stock. While media reports about rating changes by these brokerage-firm employed (or sell-side) analysts often affect a stock's price, do they really matter?