The Global X Defense Tech ETF (NYSEARCA:SHLD) and the SPDR S&P Aerospace & Defense ETF (NYSEARCA:XAR) look like two ways to buy the same rearmament story, but they take structurally different bets.
I rate the Global X Defense Tech ETF a "Buy," as valuation has become reasonable and technicals suggest a potential rebound. SHLD offers diversified exposure to global defense modernization, with a solid long-term EPS growth rate above 13% and a mid-20s P/E multiple. Recent underperformance and poor momentum have pushed SHLD to key long-term support near $60, where bullish seasonality may provide a catalyst.
Defense ETFs have multiplied as the global rearmament cycle has matured, and two of the most-followed products take very different routes to the same theme.
Exchange-traded funds (ETFs) are rarely identical, and drone ETFs are no exception. Though a relatively new entry into the burgeoning drone ETF space, the REX Drone ETF (DRNZ) is already outflying the Global X Defense Tech ETF (SHLD) in a total return dogfight this year.
Global X Defense Tech ETF (SHLD) offers exposure to large defense, cybersecurity, and advanced military tech firms, benefiting from ongoing geopolitical tensions. SHLD has outperformed the S&P 500 ETF (VOO) since inception, with a 52.44% total return through 2024 and strong NAV growth. Defense spending growth and rapid AI adoption are expected to drive further SHLD outperformance, particularly if current conflicts persist.
Defense technology ETFs including ITA, XAR and SHLD are in focus as AI platforms increasingly power modern military operations and intelligence.
One ETF that is sure to be in the spotlight as Middle Eastern conflicts ramp up, Global X Defense Tech ETF ( NYSEARCA:SHLD ) is up 82% over the past year, and the conversation around defense tech investing is heating up for reasons that go well beyond quarterly earnings cycles.
Global X Defense Tech ETF is rated Buy at $74, capturing the transatlantic defense supercycle, driven by unprecedented European rearmament. SHLD offers diversified exposure to U.S. and European defense contractors, outperforming ITA with a 77% one-year return and superior risk-adjusted metrics. Despite a 40x trailing earnings multiple and a 0.50% expense ratio, SHLD's multi-year contract backlogs and structural demand justify its premium.
Global X Defense Tech ETF targets high-margin, software-defined warfare, emphasizing cybersecurity, robotics, and advanced military systems over traditional heavy industry. SHLD surged 73% in 2025, outperforming peers, and remains positioned to benefit from a $3.6 trillion global defense spending supercycle by 2030. Strict index criteria, diversified holdings, and momentum in AI-driven defense tech underpin SHLD's growth thesis, despite a 0.5% expense ratio and modest dividend yield.
SHLD hits a new 52-week high, up 106% from its low, as defense tech gains momentum amid rising global instability.
Global X Defense Tech ETF surged 74% in 2025, driven by accelerating global defense tech demand and record corporate backlogs. SHLD's portfolio companies report robust earnings, strong order backlogs, and double-digit growth expectations into 2026, supporting continued ETF momentum. Despite a trailing P/E of 32, SHLD's growth prospects and global defense tech focus justify a strong buy rating and potential further upside.
Defense industry firms rise and fall in the short term when investors fear war or expect sudden peace. Instead, look at the big picture: defense is essential to our survival. I prefer strategic investment in defense ETFs over picking individual stocks, due to complex contract allocation and political factors. My top picks include Global X Defense Tech ETF, Select STOXX Europe Aerospace & Defense ETF, and WisdomTree Europe Defense Fund ETF.