Kalshi has placed 52% odds on a Tesla and SpaceX merger before May 1, 2027, as of Wednesday, with lower odds projected for before April 1, 2027 (45%), and before March 1, 2027 (37%). Betting odds briefly spiked to as high as 76.7% ahead of SpaceX's IPO filing earlier this month, and rival Polymarket has placed 32% odds of a merger before the end of 2026.
Here's a prediction worth marking on the calendar: Tesla (NASDAQ:TSLA | TSLA Price Prediction) CEO Elon Musk will become the world's first trillionaire on June 12, the reported IPO date for SpaceX.
Tesla (NASDAQ:TSLA | TSLA Price Prediction) is dominating every financial feed again after a 15.22% one-month rip back to $433.59, fueled by the same robotaxi and Optimus narrative that has powered the stock for years.
In Europe, Tesla sells 10,654 cars in April, up 46.5% year over year.
In the EU alone, sales grew over 67%, a sign that Elon Musk's EV maker continues to regain momentum in the region after a slump stretching more than a year.
Amazon's push into AI, satellite internet, and autonomous mobility gives it a direct path to challenge Tesla and SpaceX while its strong cash flow and bullish technical setup support further upside.
Tesla (TSLA) reported earnings 30 days ago. What's next for the stock?
Some of the requirements in Musk's compensation packages are likely more attainable: Tesla said some shares would be awarded if the company delivered 20 million cars by 2035, in addition to lower market valuation milestones. Tesla has delivered about 8.6 million vehicles since 2016 and would need to average about 1.1 million each year over the next decade to hit the milestone, after delivering 1.6 million cars in 2025, 1.7 million in 2024 and 1.8 million in 2023.
Tesla is recalling 14,575 Model Y SUVs in the U.S., over a missing certification label with weight specifications, the U.S. National Highway Traffic Safety Administration said on Friday.
Here is the part of the SpaceX IPO story most coverage glossed over: Tesla (NASDAQ:TSLA | TSLA Price Prediction) wrote a $2 billion check to xAI in January 2026, and weeks later that check effectively cleared into SpaceX.
TSLA launches Full Self-Driving in China, opening new software revenue opportunities as XPeng, BYD and Geely ramp up self-driving competition.
In the shadow of the massive SpaceX IPO, the stock of Elon Musk's other big company is struggling.