Does Upwork (UPWK) have what it takes to be a top stock pick for momentum investors? Let's find out.
While the company's strategies seem to be effective, its performance raises a larger question: Does Upwork's recent success signify a long-term expansion of the freelance economy, with the platform poised to benefit from changing work models?
Upwork had a stellar Q1'25, with significant margins improvements and raising their adjusted EBITDA guidance. While many thought AI would be a threat to a significant part of Upwork's talent pool, that concern has not materialized. Instead, AI seems to have benefited the company. Upwork's model should be able to enjoy the sort of scaling and operating leverage familiar to companies such as AirBnB and Uber, and this quarter showed potential in that direction.
Upwork raised its bottom-line outlook amid a tough climate, causing a 20% rally, but I recommend selling due to long-term risks. Revenue growth is slowing to near-zero, with declining active clients, as businesses cut costs and reduce contract work. In the long run, increased business appetite in investing into AI automation may shrivel a lot of the available market for freelance work.
Upwork Inc. (NASDAQ:UPWK ) Q1 2025 Earnings Conference Call May 5, 2025 5:00 PM ET Company Participants Samuel Meehan - VP, IR Hayden Brown - President and CEO Erica Gessert - CFO Conference Call Participants Eric Sheridan - Goldman Sachs Bernie McTernan - Needham & Co. Ronald Josey - Citi Andrew Boone - Citizens Brad Erickson - RBC Capital Markets John Byun - Jefferies Rohit Kulkarni - ROTH Capital Partners Matt Shidler - Scotiabank Marvin Fong - BTIG Operator Good day and thank you for standing by. Welcome to Upwork's First Quarter 2025 Earnings Conference Call.
Upwork (UPWK) came out with quarterly earnings of $0.34 per share, beating the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $0.25 per share. This compares to earnings of $0.22 per share a year ago.
Upwork Inc.'s Q4 beats were driven by enterprises, and I expect to see this happen again. I think the enterprise segment has strong potential to drive Upwork's next leg of growth as it captures a higher-paying client base. Profit margins jumped 68% year-over-year in Q4 due to cost reduction, platform improvements, and scale.
Upwork's Q4 earnings showcased profitability, but AI poses long-term risks, making me remain neutral on its prospects despite a recent stock rally. Upwork's AI-related GSV grew 33% y/y, but overall revenue growth has decelerated to single digits, showcasing that AI may be a net headwind than a tailwind. The company introduced its AI tool "Uma" and acquired Objective for AI native search, yet simpler jobs may be lost to AI.
Upwork Inc. UPWK shares are trading higher on Thursday.
Work marketplace Upwork earned record revenue in 2024 and attributed its gains in part to artificial intelligence (AI). In an earnings release and other materials issued Wednesday (Feb. 12), the company highlighted AI innovations it added to its marketplace platform and AI talent the platform connects with its clients.
Upwork Inc. (NASDAQ:UPWK ) Q4 2024 Earnings Conference Call February 12, 2025 5:00 PM ET Company Participants Samuel Meehan - VP, IR Hayden Brown - President and CEO Erica Gessert - CFO Conference Call Participants Maria Ripps - Canaccord Andrew Boone - Citizens Stefanos Crist - Needham Brad Erickson - RBC Capital Markets Josh Chan - UBS Jared Osteen - ROTH Capital Partners John Byun - Jefferies Marvin Fong - BTIG Operator Good day, and thank you for standing by. Welcome to the Upwork Fourth Quarter and Full Year 2024 Earnings Conference Call.
The headline numbers for Upwork (UPWK) give insight into how the company performed in the quarter ended December 2024, but it may be worthwhile to compare some of its key metrics to Wall Street estimates and the year-ago actuals.