Veteran hedge fund manager and founder of Paulson & Co., John Paulson built a reputation in event-driven and opportunistic macro investing. He is best known for profiting from the 2007 US housing bust through concentrated credit-default-swap positions that produced multibillion-dollar gains. The firm has since deployed capital across merger arbitrage, distressed credit, and commodity-focused strategies including gold. A Harvard Business School alumnus, he has also pursued activist stakes and liquid hedge funds, positioning capital where idiosyncratic credit and special-situation opportunities arise.
Veteran hedge fund manager and founder of Paulson & Co., John Paulson built a reputation in event-driven and opportunistic macro investing. He is best known for profiting from the 2007 US housing bust through concentrated credit-default-swap positions that produced multibillion-dollar gains. The firm has since deployed capital across merger arbitrage, distressed credit, and commodity-focused strategies including gold. A Harvard Business School alumnus, he has also pursued activist stakes and liquid hedge funds, positioning capital where idiosyncratic credit and special-situation opportunities arise.
Pragmatic opportunism guides capital allocation: concentrate where asymmetric risk-reward is identifiable, primarily in idiosyncratic credit, distressed situations, merger arbitrage and select macro themes. Emphasizes event-driven, relative-value and activist levers to extract value from mispriced credit and corporate complexity, pairing deep credit underwriting with tactical macro overlays. Deployment favors concentrated, high-conviction positions with defined exit triggers, active hedging of tail risks, and a horizon that spans months to several years depending on realization catalysts. Risk discipline centers on stress-tested scenarios, conviction sizing, liquidity awareness and opportunistic redeployment into dislocations.
Pragmatic opportunism guides capital allocation: concentrate where asymmetric risk-reward is identifiable, primarily in idiosyncratic credit, distressed situations, merger arbitrage and select macro themes. Emphasizes event-driven, relative-value and activist levers to extract value from mispriced credit and corporate complexity, pairing deep credit underwriting with tactical macro overlays. Deployment favors concentrated, high-conviction positions with defined exit triggers, active hedging of tail risks, and a horizon that spans months to several years depending on realization catalysts. Risk discipline centers on stress-tested scenarios, conviction sizing, liquidity awareness and opportunistic redeployment into dislocations.
| Trades 2770 | Longs Won 1186/2770 42% | Profit Factor 1.08 |
| Profitability | Shorts Won 0/0 0% | Standard Deviation $49.85M |
| Average Win $15.79M | Best Trade (Sep 30) $760.93M | Sharpe Ratio -54.38 |
| Average Loss -$10.93M | Worst Trade (Sep 29) -$1.38B | Z-Score -11.79 (100%) |
| Commissions $0 | Avg. Trade Length 1y 4m 4w | Expectancy $508,442.35 |
| Loss Size | 100% | 90% | 80% | 70% | 60% | 50% | 40% | 30% | 20% | 10% |
| Probability of Loss | <0.01% | 6.88% | 15.41% | 24.68% | 34.48% | 44.69% | 55.23% | 66.07% | 77.16% | 88.48% |
| Consecutive Losing Trades | 262 | 235 | 209 | 183 | 157 | 131 | 105 | 78 | 52 | 26 |