Veteran hedge fund manager and founder of Paulson & Co., John Paulson built a reputation in event-driven and opportunistic macro investing. He is best known for profiting from the 2007 US housing bust through concentrated credit-default-swap positions that produced multibillion-dollar gains. The firm has since deployed capital across merger arbitrage, distressed credit, and commodity-focused strategies including gold. A Harvard Business School alumnus, he has also pursued activist stakes and liquid hedge funds, positioning capital where idiosyncratic credit and special-situation opportunities arise.
Veteran hedge fund manager and founder of Paulson & Co., John Paulson built a reputation in event-driven and opportunistic macro investing. He is best known for profiting from the 2007 US housing bust through concentrated credit-default-swap positions that produced multibillion-dollar gains. The firm has since deployed capital across merger arbitrage, distressed credit, and commodity-focused strategies including gold. A Harvard Business School alumnus, he has also pursued activist stakes and liquid hedge funds, positioning capital where idiosyncratic credit and special-situation opportunities arise.
Pragmatic opportunism guides capital allocation: concentrate where asymmetric risk-reward is identifiable, primarily in idiosyncratic credit, distressed situations, merger arbitrage and select macro themes. Emphasizes event-driven, relative-value and activist levers to extract value from mispriced credit and corporate complexity, pairing deep credit underwriting with tactical macro overlays. Deployment favors concentrated, high-conviction positions with defined exit triggers, active hedging of tail risks, and a horizon that spans months to several years depending on realization catalysts. Risk discipline centers on stress-tested scenarios, conviction sizing, liquidity awareness and opportunistic redeployment into dislocations.
Pragmatic opportunism guides capital allocation: concentrate where asymmetric risk-reward is identifiable, primarily in idiosyncratic credit, distressed situations, merger arbitrage and select macro themes. Emphasizes event-driven, relative-value and activist levers to extract value from mispriced credit and corporate complexity, pairing deep credit underwriting with tactical macro overlays. Deployment favors concentrated, high-conviction positions with defined exit triggers, active hedging of tail risks, and a horizon that spans months to several years depending on realization catalysts. Risk discipline centers on stress-tested scenarios, conviction sizing, liquidity awareness and opportunistic redeployment into dislocations.
| Trades 2774 | Longs Won 1245/2774 44% | Profit Factor 1.08 |
| Profitability | Shorts Won 0/0 0% | Standard Deviation $50.57M |
| Average Win $15.5M | Best Trade (Sep 30) $760.93M | Sharpe Ratio -45.24 |
| Average Loss -$11.74M | Worst Trade (Sep 29) -$1.38B | Z-Score -8.71 (100%) |
| Commissions $0 | Avg. Trade Length 1y 5m | Expectancy $485,066.91 |
| Loss Size | 100% | 90% | 80% | 70% | 60% | 50% | 40% | 30% | 20% | 10% |
| Probability of Loss | <0.01% | 10.52% | 20.72% | 30.8% | 40.81% | 50.76% | 60.67% | 70.55% | 80.39% | 90.21% |
| Consecutive Losing Trades | 221 | 199 | 177 | 155 | 133 | 111 | 89 | 66 | 44 | 22 |
| Symbol | Quantity | Cost | Value | Comm. | Profit ($) | Gain (%) | Change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
AAMI Acadian Asset Management Inc. | 5.84M | $57.91M | $535.07M | - | $477.16M | 824.02% | -1.336% |
BHC Bausch Health Companies Inc. | 73.26M | $935.96M | $456.38M | - | -$479.57M | -51.24% | -1.268% |
GOOGL Alphabet Inc | 5,000 | $1.77M | $1.71M | - | -$58,800 | -3.33% | -2.191% |
MDGL Madrigal Pharmaceuticals, Inc. | 1.34M | $339.64M | $600.6M | - | $260.95M | 76.83% | -2.525% |
NG NovaGold Resources Inc. | 27.24M | $171.91M | $177.73M | - | $5.82M | 3.39% | -0.609% |
PPTA Perpetua Resources Corp. | 32.35M | $238.15M | $609.42M | - | $371.27M | 155.9% | +1.755% |
THM International Tower Hill Mines Ltd. | 104.49M | $155.08M | $207.93M | - | $52.85M | 34.08% | 0.0 |
THRY Thryv Holdings Inc. | 8.44M | $72.37M | $10.09M | - | -$62.28M | -86.06% | -1.24% |