Veteran hedge fund manager and founder of Paulson & Co., John Paulson built a reputation in event-driven and opportunistic macro investing. He is best known for profiting from the 2007 US housing bust through concentrated credit-default-swap positions that produced multibillion-dollar gains. The firm has since deployed capital across merger arbitrage, distressed credit, and commodity-focused strategies including gold. A Harvard Business School alumnus, he has also pursued activist stakes and liquid hedge funds, positioning capital where idiosyncratic credit and special-situation opportunities arise.
Veteran hedge fund manager and founder of Paulson & Co., John Paulson built a reputation in event-driven and opportunistic macro investing. He is best known for profiting from the 2007 US housing bust through concentrated credit-default-swap positions that produced multibillion-dollar gains. The firm has since deployed capital across merger arbitrage, distressed credit, and commodity-focused strategies including gold. A Harvard Business School alumnus, he has also pursued activist stakes and liquid hedge funds, positioning capital where idiosyncratic credit and special-situation opportunities arise.
Pragmatic opportunism guides capital allocation: concentrate where asymmetric risk-reward is identifiable, primarily in idiosyncratic credit, distressed situations, merger arbitrage and select macro themes. Emphasizes event-driven, relative-value and activist levers to extract value from mispriced credit and corporate complexity, pairing deep credit underwriting with tactical macro overlays. Deployment favors concentrated, high-conviction positions with defined exit triggers, active hedging of tail risks, and a horizon that spans months to several years depending on realization catalysts. Risk discipline centers on stress-tested scenarios, conviction sizing, liquidity awareness and opportunistic redeployment into dislocations.
Pragmatic opportunism guides capital allocation: concentrate where asymmetric risk-reward is identifiable, primarily in idiosyncratic credit, distressed situations, merger arbitrage and select macro themes. Emphasizes event-driven, relative-value and activist levers to extract value from mispriced credit and corporate complexity, pairing deep credit underwriting with tactical macro overlays. Deployment favors concentrated, high-conviction positions with defined exit triggers, active hedging of tail risks, and a horizon that spans months to several years depending on realization catalysts. Risk discipline centers on stress-tested scenarios, conviction sizing, liquidity awareness and opportunistic redeployment into dislocations.
| Trades 2774 | Longs Won 1254/2774 45% | Profit Factor 1.12 |
| Profitability | Shorts Won 0/0 0% | Standard Deviation $51.17M |
| Average Win $15.97M | Best Trade (Sep 30) $760.93M | Sharpe Ratio -45.23 |
| Average Loss -$11.76M | Worst Trade (Sep 29) -$1.38B | Z-Score -9.42 (100%) |
| Commissions $0 | Avg. Trade Length 1y 4m 4w 1d | Expectancy $614,584.74 |
| Loss Size | 100% | 90% | 80% | 70% | 60% | 50% | 40% | 30% | 20% | 10% |
| Probability of Loss | <0.01% | 2.6% | 7.8% | 14.83% | 23.4% | 33.33% | 44.5% | 56.81% | 70.21% | 84.62% |
| Consecutive Losing Trades | 290 | 261 | 232 | 203 | 174 | 145 | 116 | 87 | 58 | 29 |
| Symbol | Quantity | Cost | Value | Comm. | Profit ($) | Gain (%) | Change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
AAMI Acadian Asset Management Inc. | 5.84M | $57.91M | $540.56M | - | $482.66M | 833.5% | -0.698% |
BHC Bausch Health Companies Inc. | 73.26M | $935.96M | $476.9M | - | -$459.06M | -49.05% | +2.681% |
GOOGL Alphabet Inc | 5,000 | $1.77M | $1.73M | - | -$37,150.05 | -2.1% | -0.133% |
MDGL Madrigal Pharmaceuticals, Inc. | 1.34M | $339.64M | $680.14M | - | $340.5M | 100.25% | +0.037% |
NG NovaGold Resources Inc. | 27.24M | $171.91M | $216.27M | - | $44.36M | 25.81% | +2.32% |
PPTA Perpetua Resources Corp. | 32.35M | $238.15M | $816.45M | - | $578.29M | 242.83% | +1.98% |
THM International Tower Hill Mines Ltd. | 104.49M | $155.08M | $658.27M | - | $503.19M | 324.48% | 0.0 |
THRY Thryv Holdings Inc. | 8.44M | $72.37M | $18.24M | - | -$54.14M | -74.8% | -0.917% |