I reiterate a "Buy" rating on Advanced Micro Devices, Inc. with a fair value of $104 per share, driven by strong growth in EPYC and Ryzen processors. AMD's Ryzen 9000, utilizing Zen 5 architecture, has captured 70% of the desktop power processor market, competing effectively with Intel's 15th Gen. Anticipate 25% revenue growth for FY25, driven by data center segment growth (35%) and client segment growth (30%), despite $800M impact from export controls.
A 10% hit to Advanced Micro Devices, Inc.'s EPS in 2025 is quite likely, yet the consensus on Wall Street has only priced in a 3% drop so far. To be specific, I believe the market is underestimating the risk of AMD's $800M inventory charge if export licenses aren't approved, which is a likely scenario. Another headwind includes the upcoming tariffs on semiconductors, which can range anywhere from 25% to 100%. AMD imports a significant amount of AI chips from TSMC.
Recently, Zacks.com users have been paying close attention to Advanced Micro (AMD). This makes it worthwhile to examine what the stock has in store.
A rising tide lifts all boats, and that applies to AMD with respect to the strong growth in the AI data center market. While its top-end chips are comparable to those of Nvidia, it is still hampered by networking and software, although these matter somewhat less in the inference market. But they don't have to beat Nvidia, AMD is benefiting from the high cost and scarcity of high-end Nvidia chips.
In the current environment, it seems antithetical to say anything positive about Advanced Micro Devices (AMD -0.88%). The semiconductor stock has lost more than 60% of its value over the last 13 months as industry struggles and tariff-related worries have weighed on the company.
Stocks across industries have suffered in recent times, amid concerns that President Trump's tariffs on imports would crush earnings and economic growth. But investors have been particularly worried about technology companies as many rely on producing their goods abroad.
I reiterate my "Strong Buy" rating for AMD, citing massive undervaluation and strong growth prospects in AI and data center markets despite recent stock underperformance. AMD's Q4 revenue of ~$7.6 billion and EPS of $1.09 beat expectations, driven by significant growth in the data center segment. The potential $800 million tariff-related charge is manageable, with AMD's diversification and strong AI and server market positioning mitigating long-term risks.
Advanced Micro Devices, Inc. faces a potential $800 million charge due to new U.S. export controls on AI GPUs to China, impacting up to $1.6 billion in revenue. Despite this setback, AI GPU demand remains robust, with AMD securing major orders, including a $2+ billion contract with Oracle. AMD stock is undervalued trading at just 15x '26 consensus EPS estimates, with potential for far higher earnings on faster sales growth from AI GPUs.
Advanced Micro Devices, Inc. is the value pick of the current market sell-off and the new U.S. restrictions just made it that much more attractive. AMD stock is about to repeat its 2022 rally, in my opinion, and all the worst news is already priced into the stock. AMD's stock is trading at its lowest valuation since 2022, with a forward PE of 19x and below all its EMAs at $88.2 per share, signaling a potential rebound.
Shares of Advanced Micro Devices ( NASDAQ:AMD ) have been battered over the past month, losing -16.34% and compounding their year-to-date and one-year losses to -27.47% and 43.20%, respectively.
AMD stock fell over 7% due to Nvidia's export restrictions to China, impacting AMD's AI chip sales and contributing to a ~26% YTD decline. The Company's forward P/E of ~19x for 2025 EPS offers a margin of safety, prompting an upgrade in the stock rating. Advanced Micro Devices' diversified revenue mitigates the impact of potential Chinese market losses.
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