AvalonBay Communities, Inc. (NYSE:AVB ) Q4 2024 Earnings Conference Call February 6, 2025 1:00 PM ET Company Participants Jason Reilley – Vice President-Investor Relations Ben Schall – President and Chief Executive Officer Kevin O'Shea – Chief Financial Officer Sean Breslin – Chief Operating Officer Matt Birenbaum – Chief Investment Officer Conference Call Participants Eric Wolfe – Citibank Jamie Feldman – Wells Fargo Austin Wurschmidt – KeyBanc Capital Markets Jeff Spector – Bank of America Nick Yulico – Scotiabank John Pawlowski – Green Street Advisors Adam Kramer – Morgan Stanley Rich Hightower – Barclays Alexander Goldfarb – Piper Sandler Rich Anderson – Wedbush Securities Michael Goldsmith – UBS Alex Kim – Zelman and Associates Operator Good afternoon, ladies and gentlemen, and welcome to AvalonBay Communities Fourth Quarter 2024 Earnings Conference Call. At this time, all participants are in a listen-only mode.
Higher expenses hurt AVB's Q4 results. However, a rise in same-store residential revenues and NOI offers some support.
Although the revenue and EPS for AvalonBay (AVB) give a sense of how its business performed in the quarter ended December 2024, it might be worth considering how some key metrics compare with Wall Street estimates and the year-ago numbers.
AvalonBay Communities (AVB) came out with quarterly funds from operations (FFO) of $2.80 per share, missing the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $2.83 per share. This compares to FFO of $2.74 per share a year ago.
The Chilton REIT Strategy, founded by Bruce Garrison, has achieved an annualized total return of +9.3% gross of fees over 20 years. Successful REITs are characterized by strong management, a focused strategy, high insider ownership, and financial strength, as outlined in 'The Ten Commandments of REIT Investing.' Public REITs, with superior balance sheets and access to capital, are well-positioned to outperform private equity alternatives in a higher interest rate environment.
Beyond analysts' top -and-bottom-line estimates for AvalonBay (AVB), evaluate projections for some of its key metrics to gain a better insight into how the business might have performed for the quarter ended December 2024.
AvalonBay's Q4 results are likely to show the benefits of its diversified portfolio and technological initiatives despite elevated deliveries and high interest expenses.
AVB benefits from strong renter demand, strategic acquisitions, and technological upgrades but faces challenges from elevated supply and high interest costs.
CNBC's Diana Olick reports on REIT performance post-California wildfires.
Apartment rental rates are significantly below equilibrium due to oversupply from zero interest rate policies, with rents expected to rise 10%-20% by 2027. Investment opportunities in apartment REITs are promising; current low valuations present a buying opportunity as equilibrium is restored and rents increase. Coastal, Midwestern, and Sunbelt apartment REITs, as well as Canadian REIT BSR, offer varied prospects based on regional supply/demand dynamics and management capabilities.
REITs are so cheap that they are getting the attention of billionaires. Legendary investor Barry Sternlicht is loading up on REITs. We discuss what he is buying and why.
COVID-19 led to a migration to Sunbelt cities, causing a surge in apartment rents and subsequent overbuilding, which is now stabilizing. Multifamily REITs saw a decline in valuations but are now modestly valued with a P/AFFO multiple averaging 18.3x, higher than the broader REIT market. Despite suppressed rent growth and occupancy, strong job markets and reduced new supply suggest the potential for landlords to regain pricing power.