Golub Capital BDC trades at a slight discount to NAV, offering a solid buy opportunity for income-oriented investors despite economic challenges. GBDC's Q4 performance was strong, with adjusted net investment income of $0.47 and manageable non-accruals at 1.2% fair value. The merger with GBDC III boosted both top and bottom lines, and the BDC's well-laddered debt and high first-lien exposure remain attractive.
Trinity Capital offers a diversified asset mix and floating-rate exposure, making it a compelling passive income vehicle in a higher-for-longer rate environment. Consistent dividend coverage and a 14% yield, with potential for a 2% dividend hike in 2Q25, underscore its strong income potential. The BDC's net investment income surged 26% YoY in 3Q24, driven by new originations and higher interest rates, supporting future growth.
I maintain my buy rating on Goldman Sachs BDC due to its strong dividend coverage, diverse portfolio, and attractive valuation despite recent price declines. GSBD's portfolio is well-constructed, with a focus on first lien senior secured debt. Earnings currently support the 14.7% dividend yield, making it appealing for income investors. The higher interest rate environment has impacted GSBD's portfolio quality, but non-accrual rates have improved, and management continues to invest in new opportunities.
The BDC universe is small and a large chunk of it is uninvestable for institutional money managers. This renders the sector susceptible to emotional and unsubstantiated flows that ultimately create dislocations. I share two BDCs that offer yields of around 9.5%.
Golub Capital BDC's conservative portfolio, focusing on first-lien debt, faces challenges from decreasing interest rates but maintains solid dividend coverage. GBDC's diversified borrower base and unique industry focus, with a low non-accrual rate, supports its defensive investment position. As GBDC's regular dividend coverage can withstand a few more cuts, the current regular DPS yield of 10.2% can be considered an attractive risk-to-reward opportunity.
I am downgrading my rating on Barings BDC due to a slight uptick in non-accruals, lower earnings, and weaker dividend coverage. Despite a 10.7% dividend yield and a well-diversified portfolio, I expect no sizeable dividend raises as net investment income is projected to decrease. The recent 5% price drop presents an entry point, but the NAV decline and higher non-accrual rate raise concerns about future performance.
REITs and BDCs are solid asset classes through which to facilitate income-oriented strategies. However, investors have to be still careful of not assuming excessive risks that might lead to unexpected dividend cuts. In this article, I share two high-yielding picks, where, in my view, the chances are high for experiencing a dividend cut in the foreseeable future.
TriplePoint Venture Growth BDC had a challenging 2024, with a high non-accrual ratio and significant realized losses impacting its stock value and net asset value. Despite these issues, recent improvements in non-accruals and a dividend reset have provided some relief, making TPVG a potential buying opportunity. The tech-focused BDC sector, including competitors like Hercules Capital and Horizon Technology Finance, benefits from a strong capital markets environment, enhancing equity-driven returns.
BDC Weekly Review: Private Credit Will Be $40 Trillion In 5 Years, Says Apollo
We take a look at the Q3 numbers from the Barings BDC. Barings BDC trades at a 14% discount to book, offers a 10.6% dividend yield, and has a stable NAV over the last few years. Net investment income fell 9% year-over-year, but dividend coverage remains strong at 110%.
Hercules Capital's premium to NAV is justified by its strong two-decade performance, technology focus, and potential for record-breaking growth in 2025. The BDC's high recurring interest income and supplemental dividends make it a reliable choice for passive income investors. Hercules Capital's technology-oriented investments, including equity stakes in successful companies, offer significant long-term upside potential.
We take a look at the action in business development companies through the second week of December and highlight some of the key themes we are watching. BDCs were flat this week with CSWC and PSEC underperforming; average valuations have risen slightly above the 5-year average. Continuing themes in the BDC sector include performance persistence and valuation compression.