I upgrade the Counterpoint Quantitative Equity ETF to a Buy, as I believe its AI-informed strategy should secure outperformance versus IVV into 2027. My analysis shows that CPAI's portfolio has advantages over IVV in terms of earnings resilience and GARP profile, with fairly robust quality, which I expect to support its outperformance. CPAI has delivered outstanding results since inception, sporting an almost 8% annualized active return over December 2023–September 2026 (with IVV selected as a benchmark).
Wall Street has continued to blur the lines between investing and gambling with one recently launched exchange-traded fund.
Gold prices took a hit in September, but gold mining stocks tell a different story. The sector delivered a 17.4% return in the third quarter, outperforming every S&P 500 sector and leaving the broader index well behind.
Most investors default to the most famous S&P 500 ETF without realizing its fee structure puts them at a silent disadvantage compared to two funds holding the exact same 500 companies.
The global stock market's powerful rally could face a sharp reversal if the artificial intelligence investment boom loses momentum, according to Panmure Liberum's head of market strategy Joachim Klement. Klement expects the AI trade to unravel as soon as 2027, potentially triggering one of the most severe market downturns since the global financial crisis.
Deutsche Bank expects S&P 500 earnings growth to hold at a record 34% in the third quarter, well ahead of the 27% consensus, as AI demand and a cyclical upswing show no sign of fading. The bank said in its Q3 earnings preview that the forces behind Q2's 34% surge, up from 25% in Q1, remain firmly in place.
Analysts expect nearly 30% year-over-year earnings growth for the S&P 500, up from 26.7% on June 30th. Profits look healthy below the Mag-7 surface, including 19% growth this year for S&P 400 MidCap operating earnings.
NVIDIA, Apple, and Microsoft now dominate the S&P 500 at a concentration level that makes the 1980s tech giants look like small players, and what that means for anyone holding an index fund is more unsettling than most realize.
The CNN Money Fear and Greed Index showed further improvement in overall market sentiment, while the index moved to the “Neutral” zone on Tuesday.
After trading sideways for much of the past year, the “Magnificent Seven” have been staging a comeback, helping to re-energize a bull market threatened by rising bond yields and stubbornly high crude-oil prices.
Stocks are not expensive in an historical context, seasonal factors are supportive and Goldman Sachs hedge fund research forecasts a record high for the S&P 500 before year-end.
U.S. stock futures are trending slightly higher early Tuesday as Wall Street navigates a quiet global trading session, digesting a severe economic crisis unfolding in Iran, elevated Treasury yields, and the onset of the third-quarter earnings season.