LyondellBasell (LYB) doesn't possess the right combination of the two key ingredients for a likely earnings beat in its upcoming report. Get prepared with the key expectations.
LyondellBasell's profit margins have been in decline for nearly a decade if the impacts of COVID stimulus are removed. The competitive advantage LYB's North American operations once held has deteriorated through ever increasing ethane and LPG exports. The market is focused on capacity rationalizations in Europe, but there is plenty of new capacity coming online in the rest of the world.
LYB teams up with Polynt to launch low-carbon marine resins, blending high performance with sustainability goals.
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LyondellBasell offers a compelling near double-digit dividend yield and potential price upside, rewarding patient, income-focused investors despite a recent macro-driven selloff. Strategic divestitures, asset repurposing, and vertical integration are improving efficiency, shoring up the balance sheet, and reducing feedstock costs. LYB is largely insulated from tariff headwinds and is executing a $500M cash improvement program, positioning itself for margin expansion and earlier-than-expected recovery.
LYB's polyolefin technologies have been selected by SHCCIG Yulin for a major petrochemical project in China.
LyondellBasell teams up with Premix and Maillefer to launch a recyclable PP-based power cable solution targeting MV and HV systems.
LyondellBasell enters into an agreement and exclusive talks with AEQUITA to sell Europe's four key olefins & polyolefins assets.
LyondellBasell offers a nearly 10% dividend yield, with management maintaining payouts despite cyclical headwinds and weak earnings, signaling confidence in recovery. The company's strategic focus on cost savings, niche markets, and sustainable products positions it well for long-term growth once industry conditions improve. Strong cash flow, disciplined capital allocation, and a robust balance sheet provide resilience, supporting both the dividend and future recovery potential.
LyondellBasell (LYB) is a global chemical company, producing critical chemicals that power modern life. Recent weakness in end markets - along with higher-than-average input costs - have driven net income lower. That said, we think the dividend remains safe for the time being. If a few things 'go right', LYB could produce solid total returns as a cyclical value play.
The current dividend yield is very attractive and a rare sight within the sector, but investors should not assume that it is risk-free. Given the company's current cash flow and potential profitability improvements from restructuring, a dividend cut appears unlikely. However, the risk of demand in key end-markets deteriorating further is not to be ignored and investors should keep some more dry-powder at hand.
LYB faces significant near-term headwinds with weak demand, margin pressure, and trade-related challenges, reflected in a 7.6% sales decline and lower EPS. Operational inefficiencies, outages, and higher feedstock costs have further compressed margins, but some recovery in utilization rates is expected in upcoming quarters. Long-term prospects are supported by ongoing cost reductions, asset rationalization, and strategic investments in projects like Flex-2 and MoReTec-1 for efficiency and sustainability.