MGM Resorts (MGM) trades at a deep discount after a failed $48.30/share takeover, with shares now near $29 despite stable fundamentals. MGM's lease-heavy structure, robust buybacks, and diversified assets underpin a fair value estimate of $45/share, with downside risk to $27. Operating trends have softened, but MGM remains the cheapest among peers on lease-adjusted EBITDAR and free cash flow yield metrics.
MGM Resorts International NYSE: MGM stock is down about 17% in 2026. Most of that damage has come since the beginning of June.
People Incorporated (NASDAQ:PPLI) shares rose 10% to $39.74 on Friday noon after a Wall Street Journal (WSJ) report that MGM Resorts International (NYSE:MGM) is considering a potential takeover bid for the media company. The stock was up $3.81 from Thursday's close of $35.93, extending a sharp move that began in after-hours trading after the report emerged.
The billionaire's company, which has a stake in MGM, also owns titles including Food & Wine magazine.
Barry Diller's People Inc withdrew its proposal to buy the outstanding shares of MGM Resorts International (NYSE:MGM) that it does not already own, sending the casino operator's stock down nearly 9% on Thursday morning. The group proposed in June to acquire the MGM shares for $48.30 a share, a deal that valued MGM at more than $18 billion.
Shares of MGM Resorts International (NYSE:MGM | MGM Price Prediction) are sinking in morning trading after Barry Diller's People Inc. (NASDAQ:PPLI) pulled its cash bid for the casino operator's remaining public shares. MGM Resorts International stock is at $34.
Barry Diller's People Inc. pulled its offer for the hotel and casino operator on Thursday—but the media mogul may still be interested in a deal.
The billionaire had been in talks with the casino operator after offering in June to take a majority stake.
MGM's 13.9% three-month slide puts its growth plans in focus, but uneven Vegas demand, digital losses and heavy Osaka spending cloud the buy case.
MGM (MGM) reported earnings 30 days ago. What's next for the stock?
People Inc.'s 66.8 million-share stake in MGM is worth about $2.9 billion at current prices, already exceeding People Inc.'s $2.86 billion market capitalization. People Inc.'s publishing business is improving, with Q2 adjusted EBITDA increasing to $73 million and 2026 EBITDA guidance raised. Including estimated net proceeds from the announced $189 million LP-interest sale, we estimate holdco cash at approximately $939 million.
MGM Resorts International remains a Buy due to attractive valuation and strong balance sheet despite recent underperformance versus the S&P 500. MGM's growth is driven by MGM China and MGM Digital, while Las Vegas and regional operations face near-term headwinds from weak visitation and consumer sentiment. Management is investing in long-term growth, including the MGM Osaka resort in Japan and expanding digital and sports-betting platforms.