The Hang Seng Index has rebounded, moving from the June low of 22,516 to a high of 26,200. It has jumped to its highest level since May 15, and is about to form a golden cross pattern as technology companies recover.
Meta and Snap rolled out new smart glasses last month, the latest sign that the industry is racing to put a camera and an AI assistant onto users' faces. As the fast-growing market heats up, upstarts like Even Realities are muscling in on the giants.
Meituan remains a Buy as Q1 2026 results confirm Q4 2025 was likely the trough, not a new run-rate. Sequential improvement is clear: CLC and New Initiatives losses narrowed sharply, and food delivery economics are moving in the right direction. Q1 demonstrates MPNGF can improve profitability without a sharp revenue rebound, invalidating the bear case of a permanent subsidy war.
Meituan: Downgrade To HOLD As Structural Recovery Meets Cyclical Stagnation
Meituan (MPNGY) Q1 2026 Earnings Call Transcript
China's top food-delivery company stayed in the red for the third consecutive quarter.
Meituan remains a buy as the business fundamentals outshine the Q4 headline loss, with improved user quality and a strengthening moat. Core Local Commerce faces pressure, but food delivery competition is rationalizing, and sequential margin recovery is underway as management pulls back from low-quality orders. MPNGF's upgraded membership program is driving higher user engagement, retention, and ARPU, expanding the high-value member base and reducing churn risk.
I have turned positive on Meituan after analyzing its quarterly financial performance and recent regulatory developments in China. Meituan's 4Q2025 company-wide deficit narrowed sequentially, and the firm is guiding for smaller food delivery losses in 1Q26. Chinese regulators are discouraging price wars, which have favorable read-throughs for the company's future profitability.
Meituan (MPNGY) Q4 2025 Earnings Call Transcript
The Chinese food-delivery giant continued to bleed from a brutal price war, posting a second straight quarter in the red.
Meituan remains the dominant Chinese on-demand delivery platform despite a Q3 loss driven by intensified subsidy competition with JD.com and Alibaba. Meituan's fulfillment efficiency and integrated content-to-transaction ecosystem underpin its market leadership, with unmatched speed, reliability, and high AOV order dominance. Meituan's lower burn rate versus peers amid irrational competition and a 34.3% YTD share price decline present an attractive buying opportunity.
Meituan is upgraded to bullish as the subsidy war peaks and market share rebounds, signaling a clearer path to margin recovery. Q3 revenue softness was optical, driven by contra-revenue from incentives, while New Initiatives delivered 15.9% y/y growth and improved margins. Subsidy levels are trending lower post-summer, with user engagement and GTV market share recovering, indicating competitive intensity is waning.