Nebius just auctioned its first Blackwell capacity above any price it has ever charged, and management says it could sell all of 2027 right now but is choosing not to.
Nebius Group N.V. (NBIS) Presents at Goldman Sachs Communacopia + Technology Conference 2026 Transcript
Nebius stock surged by over 10% today, September 8, continuing a recovery that started on Tuesday last week when it bottomed at $194.76. It jumped to a high of $250, its highest level since August 18 this year, mirroring the performance of other neocloud companies like CoreWeave and IREN.
Nebius targets $3.0-$3.4 billion 2026 revenue and a $7-$9 billion exit run rate as AI capacity expands. Connected power could reach 800 MW-1 GW by year-end, while contracted power targets have increased substantially to 5 GW. Customer prepayments may exceed $9 billion in 2026, with recent contracts covering roughly 50%-60% of associated infrastructure CapEx.
NBIS surges 253.5% in a year on AI infrastructure demand, but high capital needs and valuation raise questions about further upside.
Nebius Group N.V. remains a buy as its asset-light AI-PaaS model accelerates capacity expansion, drives high-margin software economics, and leverages $9B in prepayments. NBIS's asset-light franchise model offloads CapEx to partners, enabling rapid scaling, high ROIC, and decoupling free cash flow from CapEx burn as next-gen silicon clusters deploy. Despite concerns over 5-year depreciation vs. 2-year GPU obsolescence and $5.75B in convertible debt, I see no immediate impairment risk before 2028–2029.
Nebius (NBIS) remains a Strong Buy as it executes on rapid backlog growth, robust GPU rental pricing, and secured capital for expansion. NBIS's unit economics are improving, with GPU price hikes passed through to contracts, shielding margins and supporting 50% adjusted EBITDA margins in Q2. Deferred and contracted revenues are surging, with a $40 billion backlog and guidance for at least 1GW annual capacity additions through 2027.
NBIS is building toward 2027 growth as multibillion-dollar AI cloud deals, premium pricing and major capacity expansion strengthen its revenue outlook.
Nebius has surged over 200% in a year on the back of marquee deals and a $37.5 billion backlog, yet three customers still drive nearly 60% of revenue and a $20 billion capex bill looms.
The AI infrastructure boom is creating a peculiar investing landscape. Demand for computing power is running ahead of available supply, allowing companies that own GPUs and data-center capacity to command premium prices.
Nebius stock jumped by over 6% in the extended hours as technology companies reacted to the strong Nvidia earnings, which painted a rosy color on the booming AI industry. It rose to $215 after ending the day at $213.
Nebius Group N.V. is rated Buy due to exceptional execution, robust demand, and strong earnings momentum in the neocloud sector. NBIS's Q2 2026 revenue surged 454% YoY to $582.3M, with ARR up nearly 600% YoY and EBITDA margins at 49.7%. Nvidia's 9.3% equity stake and favorable debt terms reduce execution and capital risks, supporting NBIS's aggressive capacity expansion.