Nebius remains a buy as fundamentals and long-term outlook strengthen, despite a high valuation and recent stock pullback. NBIS is rapidly scaling infrastructure, with contracted power targets raised to over 2.5GW by YE2026, and demand currently outstripping supply. Major hyperscaler contracts with Microsoft and Meta validate NBIS' trajectory, with revenues from these deals ramping up by 2026.
Nebius: Why The Stock Is Trapped In Consolidation
I believe that Nebius (NBIS) is the technology leader in AI neo cloud, with a differentiated full-stack approach and strong momentum among AI-native customers. NBIS's rapid ARR growth, marquee hyperscaler contracts, and expanding capacity underpin expectations for $10–12B revenue in 2027 and $20B by 2028. Gross margins (ex-depreciation) are 71% and rising; high switching costs and sticky AI workloads support durable, recurring revenue.
Nebius Group N.V. represents a strong long-term Buy opportunity due to its unparalleled AI infrastructure moat, robust hyperscaler partnerships, and exceptional engineering talent. NBIS's partnerships with Microsoft and Meta Platforms validate its technological edge and provide long-term revenue visibility for this $23B worth company. Management's aggressive CapEx guidance increase to $5B for FY2025 and a robust balance sheet support sustained, rapid growth.
Nebius has rapidly emerged as a $25B AI-infrastructure leader, attracting major institutional capital and high-profile strategic investors. NBIS's vertical integration, hyperscale buildouts, and full-stack AI cloud platform position it as a next-generation hyperscaler with accelerating demand. Technical analysis signals a bullish setup above $100, with margin structure already improving and EBITDA margins reaching 19% in Q3.
NBIS lifts 2025 capex to $5 billion while racing to meet AI demand, raising questions about its path to a slightly EBITDA-positive year-end.
Nebius has surged nearly 300% in a year and remains positioned for major AI-driven upside, supported by large contracts with Meta, Uber, and Microsoft. FQ3 showed an EPS beat but revenue miss, yet management raised power-capacity guidance sharply and reported all capacity sold out, signaling strong AI infrastructure demand. Despite a high valuation on traditional metrics, Nebius appears cheap if growth delivers, with analysts expecting 5x revenue growth by 2026 and significant scalability ahead.
Nebius Group reported 3Q25 revenue of $146.1M, up 355% YoY, but missed estimates and posted a $100.4M adjusted net loss. NBIS is rapidly expanding AI infrastructure, highlighted by the Mäntsälä campus scaling to 75MW, potentially generating $650M-$1B in annual recurring revenue. Despite high cash burn and premium valuation multiples, NBIS's long-term growth is anchored by major capacity expansions and strategic deals.
The Alger AI Enablers & Adopters ETF outperformed the S&P 500 Index during the third quarter of 2025. NVIDIA Corporation, Nebius Group N.V., and Talen Energy Corp were among the top contributors to performance. Netflix, Inc., Twilio, Inc., and Spotify Technology were among the top detractors from performance.
Nebius Group N.V. shares have fallen 35% from recent highs. NBIS stock has been caught up in a broader AI selloff. While volatility lies ahead, I think NBIS is a long-term winner.
Nebius is a rebranded international AI-cloud company spun off from Yandex, now focused on global growth and innovation. NBIS shares surged post-relisting but dropped after Q3 2025 earnings missed expectations, as revenue growth underperformed and supply constraints limited near-term upside. Despite short-term setbacks, NBIS secured major long-term contracts with Microsoft and Meta, ensuring significant revenue ramp-up through 2026-2027.
NBIS races to expand capacity as surging AI demand sells out every build, driving huge CapEx plans and reshaping revenue targets.