What does the $17.4B deal with Microsoft really mean for Nebius Group N.V.'s future? Could investors start paying Palantir-like multiples for this AI hyperscaler? I wasn't bullish enough. NBIS stock could reach over $300 by 2030, perhaps even $1000.
I rate Nebius Group a strong buy due to its experienced management team, deep AI expertise, and promising growth projects, even beyond the current AI boom. Nebius benefits from strategic 'other bets' like Clickhouse, Avride, and Toloka, each with significant growth potential and synergies within the AI ecosystem. The company is rapidly expanding AI infrastructure, targeting niche markets and building sticky, recurring revenue streams with a full-stack AI platform.
Nebius Group delivered strong Q2 results, with revenues up 625% year-over-year and EBITDA losses narrowing, signaling successful scaling of its AI business. Annual recurring revenue (ARR) guidance was raised to $900M–$1.1B, reflecting new high-profile customers and supporting a bullish long-term outlook. Despite a high valuation (63.5x TTM EV/Sales), I see significant upside by 2027, with a new base case price target of $86 and a bullish scenario at $108.49.
Nebius Group N.V. delivered exceptional Q2 results, with 625% YoY revenue growth, margin expansion, and raised 2025 guidance, validating its rapid scaling and profitability. The company's vertically integrated AI stack, inherited software from Yandex, and enterprise-grade frameworks create a strong moat and high switching costs. My base case projects Nebius reaching $940/share by 2030, driven by 45% revenue CAGR, expanding margins, and a 12x EBITDA multiple.
Nebius is disrupting AI infrastructure with explosive growth, soaring profits, and a bullish double bottom breakout that positions the stock to test the $100 resistance, making it a top AI pick for 2025.
Key Points in This Article: Nebius Group (NBIS) is gaining attention as a potentially undervalued AI stock with significant growth potential, distinct from Nvidia's chip-focused dominance.
My position in Nebius is up by over 120%, now accounting for 12.8% of my portfolio. I haven't trimmed so far, although I recognize the stock may be overbought. Core to my thesis: ARR is accelerating (guidance $900M–$1.1B) and profitability is reflecting. CEO Arkady Volozh expects positive adj. EBITDA for the entire group in 2026. Capacity is set to scale: 220MW contracted by year-end (~100MW active), anchored by New Jersey (200MW) and Finland (50MW), targeting 1GW next year.
Nebius Q2 results were a strong proof of concept with accelerating sales growth and greatly improving profitability, turning the core business EBITDA positive ahead of time. On the back of strong YTD results and additional logo wins during Q2, year end ARR guidance was raised from $0.75-1B to $0.9-1.1B, a ~14% hike at the midpoint. Incorporating raised guidance, we introduce a year end price target of $90, reinforcing our buy rating with ~27% additional upside despite the 30% post-earnings surge.
NBIS posts massive Q2 growth and ups ARR forecast, but faces stiff competition, high spending and scaling risks ahead.
I'm bullish on Nebius Group N.V. due to its strategic partnership with Nvidia, granting early access to Blackwell Superchips and fueling rapid AI-cloud growth. The Nvidia deal enables Nebius to address Europe's untapped AI market by offering affordable, scalable AI solutions and significant cloud credits for startups. Nebius has shown a dramatic turnaround in revenue and profitability post-partnership, with 625% YoY revenue growth and a strong outlook for continued expansion.
Nebius is a strong buy, combining hyperscale AI infrastructure, rapid revenue growth, and a software-first culture inherited from Yandex. Unique cost advantages from Nordic locations, green energy, and heat recycling drive industry-leading margins and ESG appeal. Strategic Nvidia partnership and self-funded expansion pipeline position Nebius for continued global growth and hardware access.
I upgrade Nebius to Buy, as strong industry growth and execution outweigh my previous valuation concerns. Q2 2025 results showed 625% YoY revenue growth, robust ARR guidance, and aggressive capacity and geographic expansion. The company remains unprofitable and is highly leveraged, with rising debt and heavy CAPEX to support rapid scaling.