NBIS sees strong AI cloud demand, lands Israel's national supercomputer project and targets up to $1B in run-rate by 2025.
Nebius's vertically integrated and custom-built AI cloud infrastructure, and deep Nvidia partnership, give it an edge over legacy hyperscalers retrofitting their general use infrastructure to AI. Led by Arkady Volozh, Nebius boasts a world-class management team with high insider alignment and a proven track record from Yandex. Rapid revenue growth and improving EBITDA margins position Nebius for profitability by Q4 2025, with potential for upward revisions as a key upside catalyst.
The bull case remains intact. TSMC didn't show any signs of slowdown in Q2 revenue growth, which is ultra bullish for Nebius (from a growth perspective) as a direct consumer of Nvidia's GPUs. NBIS' Q2 earnings will hinge on ARR guidance, data center expansion plans, and Capex updates, with key comments to watch for on the New Jersey, Finland, and Israel sites.
Nebius Group is a $13 billion Dutch company building purpose-built GPU infrastructure to power the global AI boom. Despite no profits and high price-to-sales ratios, its full-stack AI-native platform and global expansion signal deep strategic positioning. The company is aggressively frontloading Capex to build data centers and scale GPU capacity ahead of explosive demand.
Nebius is a rapidly growing AI cloud provider, uniquely focused on small to midsized companies with flexible, user-friendly AI infrastructure and a strong NVIDIA partnership. The company projects explosive revenue growth and expects positive adjusted EBITDA by 2025, making its current valuation look attractive if forecasts are met. The company's main advantage over hyperscalers like AWS is its simplicity, flexibility, and competitive GPU pricing without long-term commitments, appealing to AI-native startups.
Key Points in This Article: Nebius Group's (NBIS) 90% YTD stock surge and Nvidia partnership fuel optimism for a $84 price target, driven by 385% revenue growth and a projected $1 billion ARR this year.
NBIS witnesses a booming core AI business and its stakes in ClickHouse, Toloka and Avride may fuel more upside.
Nebius Group N.V. is one of the more fascinating businesses I've covered in recent memory. To invest in Nebius, in my view, is to invest in Yandex's Cloud division, extricated from Russia due to Putin's political decisions. I believe that investing in Nebius represents, essentially, getting to invest with a world class entrepreneur now freed from the political constraints of an autocratic regime.
I'm now holding Nebius but advising caution, suggesting investors wait before buying the recent 15% dip ahead of Q2 earnings. Nebius has a consistent history of missing quarterly revenue estimates, posing a significant risk of spooking the many new, hype-driven investors if it happens again. The stock's recent price surge was fueled more by multiple expansion and market narrative rather than fundamental beats, making its current valuation potentially stretched.
Nebius Group N.V. is a hypergrowth AI infrastructure play, with explosive revenue and ARR growth, but significant cash burn and operating losses that pose substantial risk. Traditional valuation is less relevant now; the focus is on continued top-line growth and scaling, with eventual market demand for profitability. Expansion plans support a bullish long-term thesis for NBIS stock, but volatility, short interest, and substantial execution risk are present.
The search for the next impactful name in artificial intelligence (AI) often leads investors to crowded fields. Yet, quietly capturing a significant market share is Nebius Group N.V.
Nebius stock is one of the most remarkable investments on the public market right now. Management has strong values, and the financial strategy is top-tier. I trimmed my NBIS position recently to lock in some gains, and my remaining shares have an unrealized profit of 85%. I forecast a 30% annual return as likely over the next couple of years. Cash burn risks are manageable due to strategic financial timing by management.