I downgrade NCNO to a sell due to worsening macro conditions, elevated tariffs, and potential Fed rate hikes, severely impacting mortgage volumes. Despite 4Q25 revenue growth, organic subscription growth decelerated, and adj. EBIT margin fell, indicating underlying weaknesses. Macro risks, including new tariffs and potential recession, pose significant headwinds for NCNO's mortgage-related business, with management modeling zero growth in US mortgage-related revenue for FY26.
nCino (NASDAQ:NCNO) shares sank more than 23% after the cloud-based bank operating system's fourth quarter earnings disappointed. For the quarter, nCino posted earnings per share of $0.12, down from $0.21 in the year-ago quarter and missing estimates of $0.19.
nCino, Inc. (NASDAQ:NCNO ) Q4 2025 Earnings Conference Call April 1, 2025 4:30 PM ET Company Participants Harrison Masters - Director, IR Sean Desmond - CEO Greg Orenstein - CFO Conference Call Participants Saket Kalia - Barclays Terry Tillman - Truist Securities Alex Sklar - Raymond James James Fawcett - Morgan Stanley Koji Ikeda - Bank of America Ryan Tomasello - KBW Chris Kennedy - William Blair Aaron Kimson - Citizens JMP Alex Markgraff - KBCM Kenneth Suchoski - Autonomous Research Operator Thank you for standing by, and welcome to nCino's Fourth Quarter Fiscal Year 2025 Earnings Conference Call. At this time, all participants are in a listen-only mode.
nCino shares slumped in after hours trading Tuesday (April 1) in the wake of guidance that anticipates slowing growth in the core cloud banking segments and mortgage markets, though a reacceleration is envisioned for fiscal year 2027.
NCino (NCNO) came out with quarterly earnings of $0.12 per share, missing the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $0.18 per share. This compares to earnings of $0.21 per share a year ago.
nCino, Inc. NCNO will release its fourth-quarter financial results after the closing bell on Tuesday, April 1.
nCino (NCNO) has been upgraded to a Zacks Rank #2 (Buy), reflecting growing optimism about the company's earnings prospects. This might drive the stock higher in the near term.
NCNO benefits from strategic acquisitions and expanding global clientele, positioning the company for continued growth in 2025.
The average of price targets set by Wall Street analysts indicates a potential upside of 25.2% in nCino (NCNO). While the effectiveness of this highly sought-after metric is questionable, the positive trend in earnings estimate revisions might translate into an upside in the stock.
nCino (NCNO) appears to have found support after losing some value lately, as indicated by the formation of a hammer chart. In addition to this technical chart pattern, strong agreement among Wall Street analysts in revising earnings estimates higher enhances the stock's potential for a turnaround in the near term.
nCino (NCNO) is technically in oversold territory now, so the heavy selling pressure might have exhausted. This along with strong agreement among Wall Street analysts in raising earnings estimates could lead to a trend reversal for the stock.
The market is threatening the forming of a short-term top here. We've seen some big spikes in several stocks, but that's not what's making things feel so “toppy.