European drug regulator allows Novo to include reduction of kidney disease in Ozempic label
The European Medicines Agency (EMA) will allow Novo Nordisk to add risk reduction for events related to kidney disease to the label of its diabetes drug Ozempic, the Danish drugmaker said in a statement on Thursday.
Novo Nordisk: Just The Right Price (Rating Upgrade)
For the first time since I initiated coverage on the Danish weight loss treatments company Novo Nordisk earlier this year, it's now attractive enough to be upgraded to a Buy. Fears of a slump in its blockbuster weight loss treatment, Wegovy's sales in late September were assuaged with the company's Q3 2024 results. Market multiples for Novo Nordisk are also attractive now, especially with a forward P/E for 2025 at 28.3x.
Healthy Returns: A huge deal to boost Novo Nordisk's manufacturing is one step closer to closing
Novo Nordisk parent's huge manufacturing deal is one step closer to closing. Meanwhile, Nobel Prize winners urge senators to oppose confirmation of RFK Jr.
Novo Nordisk A/S (NVO) Price Prediction and Forecast 2025-2030
When it comes to weight loss drugs, Ozempic has become a phenomenon. With nearly $14 billion in sales in 2023, it shows no signs of slowing down, much to the delight of its Danish manufacturer, Novo Nordisk A/S (NYSE: NVO). A Scandinavian economic behemoth, Novo Nordisk is the highest-valued company in Europe at over $500 billion, which exceeds Denmark’s entire GDP. Ironically, Ozempic and Wegovy, as with many of Novo Nordisk’s other products, were created primarily for treating diabetes. The weight-loss factor has become a very profitable and unintended side-effect. Founded a century ago, Copenhagen-based Nordisk originally made insulin. After coming to the US in 1982, it underwent several corporate changes until becoming Novo Nordisk in 1989. In addition to diabetes drugs, the company also makes drug treatments for wound healing, menopausal hormone replacement, and human growth hormone. Headwinds While Novo Nordisk has built itself into a pharmaceutical giant, it has seriously run afoul of regulatory laws on several occasions. Novo Nordisk’s practices have raised red flags in Denmark as well as in the US and UK for years, with the more recent ones being: A 2017 $59 million fine from the DOJ due to lack of FDA disclosures concerning cancer risks from diabetes drug Victoza; Membership suspension from the UK’s Association of British Pharmacy Industry over ethics violations tantamount to bribing of health professionals; 235 active Ozempic related product liability lawsuits as of August, 2024; A 2024 investigation led by the US Senate confirmed predatory pricing of Ozempic by almost 1500% vs. its price in Europe, and 1000% for Wegovy. Regardless, investors are much more concerned with future stock performance over the next 1, 5, to 10 years. While most Wall Street analysts will calculate 12-month forward projections, it’s clear that nobody has a consistent crystal ball, and plenty of unforeseen circumstances can render even near-term projections irrelevant. 24/7 Wall Street aims to present some farther-looking insights based on Novo Nordisk’s own numbers, along with business and market development information that may be of help to our readers’ own research. Key Points In This Article Novo Nordisk’s R&D is heavily invested in improved obesity treatments Novo Nordisk sees the obesity drug market expanding to $100 billion by 2030. To that end, it has Amycretin in FDA phase-1 and CagriSegma in phase-2 trials, which both show greater efficacy potential than Wegovy and Ozempic. Although the number of Ozempic-related lawsuits are piling up, Novo Nordisk’s stance is that the complaints are unwarranted, and will either be dismissed or settled. Novo Nordisk’s past acquisitions for both greater production capacity and logistical flexibility will reap benefits through geopolitical risk mitigation and broader product menu options. Entering untapped markets, such as China, will be key to Novo Nordisk’s future growth. If you’re looking for some stocks with huge potential, make sure to grab a free copy of our brand-new “The Next NVIDIA” report. It features a software stock we’re confident has 10X potential. Novo Nordisk News and Updates 12/9/2024 Novo Nordisk has received European approval to acquire Catalent, a U.S. drug manufacturer responsible for producing a large portion of Novo Nordisk’s popular obesity drug, Wegovy. However, the deal still needs to be cleared by the U.S. Federal Trade Commission before it can be finalized. 12/6/2024 Novo Nordisk announced a major price reduction for two of its insulin products. Starting in January 2026, the list price of Fiasp will drop by 75%, while Tresiba will see a 72.2% reduction. Novo Nordisk will also discontinue unbranded versions of Tresiba by the end of 2025. 12/5/2024 Novo Nordisk announced a large investment of DKK 2.9 billion ($411 million) to construct a new quality control laboratory in Hillerød, Denmark. The new 53,000-square-meter facility is expected to be operational by 2027 and will be Novo Nordisk’s largest quality control investment to date. 12/3/2024 Novo Nordisk’s India team wants to launch the weight-loss drug Wegovy sooner than planned. They’re concerned about falling behind the company’s rival, Eli Lilly, whose similar drug Mounjaro is expected to launch next year. 11/27/2024 Health Canada has granted approval for Novo Nordisk’s weight-loss drug, Wegovy. Wegovy now becomes the first treatment in Canada to address both obesity and the risk of heart-related issues in adults with pre-existing cardiovascular disease. 11/26/2024 A new proposal from President Joe Biden suggests that Medicaid and Medicare should cover the cost of weight-loss drugs for patients, which could lead to increased demand for drugs like Ozempic. Currently, these insurance programs cover the medication for diabetes, but not those for obesity. 11/25/2024 Each month over 200,000 U.S. patients rely on compounded copies of Novo Nordisk’s weightloss drug, Wegovy. An industry group has urged the FDA to consider the role of these copies in easing the obesity drug shortage before officially banning them. 11/22/2024 BMO Capital remains optimistic about Novo Nordisk, reaffirming its “Outperform” rating and setting a $156 price target. The firm anticipates positive impacts on Novo Nordisk’s stock due to potential EU approval of Novo Holdings’ acquisition of Catalent. 11/21/2024 Novo Nordisk’s stock price declined 3.01% today, dipping as low as $101.51. 11/20/2024 Novo Nordisk and Eli Lilly are reaching out to labor unions and HR to advocate for anti-obesity drugs like Ozempic, Mounjaro, Wegovy, and Zepbound. 5-10 Year Review Novo Nordisk bread and butter diabetes and obesity drugs obscure its other remedies for estrogen replacement, wound treatment, and HGH, among others. Novo Nordisk has spared no expense in expanding its pharmaceutical reach and scope. In addition to adding new factories to ramp up production to meet demand for Ozempic and Wegovy, the company’s expansion towards treating other afflictions saw billions spent in acquisitions. The past decade has seen the following events: In 2015, Novo Nordisk announced a $400 million collaboration with Sanofi subsidiary Ablynx, to use its nanobody technology to develop a new drug. After an unsuccessful bid to acquire Ablynx in 2018, Novo Nordisk bought diabetes drug company Ziylo. 2020 saw Novo Nordisk buying Corvidia Therapeutics from AstraZeneca for its heart disease treatments. Novo Nordisk announced it would acquire Emisphere Technologies for $1.35 billion in December 2020, adding another diabetes pill to its catalog. In November 2021, Novo Nordisk acquired Dicerna Pharmaceuticals and its RNAi therapeutics, for $3.3 billion. Intending to expand its sickle cell disease and rare blood disorders portfolio, 2022 saw Novo Nordisk buying Forma Therapeutics for $1.1 billion. Flush with Ozempic and Wegovy cash, Novo Nordisk bought Inversago Pharma for $1 billion, Embark Biotech for up to $500 million, ocedurenone—an experimental drug for uncontrolled hypertension and potentially beneficial in treating cardiovascular and kidney diseases—from KBP Biosciences for $1.3 billion during 2023. To address expanding Ozempic and Wegovy demand, Novo Nordisk’s parent, Novo Holdings, bought NJ-based Catalent, a global provider of drug delivery systems, gene therapies, manufacturing, biologics, and other operations, in 2024. 2024 also saw the acquisitions of Cardior Pharmaceuticals for its cardiovascular treatment portfolio, and Austria’s Single use Support, a fluid management company. Fiscal Year (DEC) Price Revenues Net Income DKK (=US$0.15) DKK (=US$0.15) 2015 $29.04 107.927B/$16.19B 34.860B/$5.23B 2016 $17.93 111.780B/$16.76B 37.925B/$5.69B 2017 $26.83 111.696B/$16.75B 38.130B/$5.72B 2018 $23.03 111.831B/$16.77B 38.628B/$5.79B 2019 $28.94 122.021B/$18.30B 38.951B/$5.84B 2020 $34.92 126.946B/$19.04B 42.138B/$6.32B 2021 $56.00 140.800B/$21.12B 47.757B/$7.16B 2022 $67.67 176.954B/$26.54B 55.525B/$8.33B 2023 $103.45 232.261B/$34.84B 83.683B/$12.55B 2024 LTM (as of June) $142.74 258.003B/$38.70B 89.898B/$13.48B Key Drivers for Novo Nordisk’s Stock in the Future The obesity and weight-loss drug market is expected to his $100 billion by 2030. A more potent obesity treatment called CagriSema combines semaglutide, the active ingredient in Ozempic, with amylin and calcitonin receptor agonists. Amylin helps regulate blood sugar levels, similar to GLP-1, while calcitonin controls calcium levels in the blood. Results for two late-stage FDA trials of the drug are expected by the end of 2024. Wegovy’s June 2024 approval for sales in China opens the door to a new market, which has hundreds of million prospective new customers from China’s burgeoning middle and upper class. New experimental obesity drug Amycretin, a single molecule that operates as a GLP-1 receptor agonist that reduces one’s appetite, is in phase-1 FDA trials. The new pill achieved a 13.1% average weight loss after 12 weeks, more than doubling the efficacy of Wegovy for the same time span. With the obesity drug market expected to reach $100 billion by 2030, genetic-based treatments currently in the R&D stage could become the next pharma golden ring. While some legal experts believe that the number of Ozempic lawsuits over gastroparesis and other afflictions, such as pancreatitis, kidney, and gallbladder issues, can reach as high as 20,000, Novo Nordisk is apparently confident it can reach a settlement that will allow it to continue its growth trajectory without impediment. Stock Price Prediction for 2025 Out of 11 Wall Street analysts, their consensus recommendation is “outperform/hold”, based on 5 buy, 2 outperform, 2 hold, and 2 sell. Their consensus 12-month target price for Novo Nordisk is $140.07, which is a 26.10% gain over today’s stock price. The 24/7 Wall Street 12-month projected target is a more conservative $124.20. This would be 12.12% above today’s price. Novo Nordisk’s Next 5 Years’ Outlook Novo Nordisk’s median P/E ratio has been 26.40 from 2010 to the present. The following price predictions are based on a 25 P/E. In the subsequent 5 years to follow, Novo Nordisk’s newest products, presently in FDA trials, are targeting the obesity market. It is anticipated to reach $100 billion by 2030. Obesity drugs competing against offerings from Eli Lilly and other rivals require drugs that meet the following criteria: Sufficient efficacy to fulfill the medical needs of a large population of patients; Tolerable enough for prolonged patient treatment to obtain a significant and consistent therapeutic effect; Flexible enough to be prescribed to patients without an abundance of diagnostic testing or monitoring; Formulaically efficient enough to manufacture and distribute at scale. With Wegovy gaining acceptance for China in Q2 2024, this opens the door for Novo Nordisk to gain a foothold in a potentially larger market than the entirety of its European share. China’s middle and wealthy classes have multiplied exponentially as China’s GDP has grown. Obesity, heart diseases, and other ailments common in the West have escalated in China as diets and lifestyles adapted to mimic Western tastes and trends. Our price target for 2026 is $136.62. The new obesity drug CagriSema is presently near completion of FDA phase-2 trials. Assuming there are no negative results to bar initiating clinical phase-3 trials, these would presumably occur throughout 2025 and 2026. Therefore, CagriSema is likely to be cleared for public dissemination and ready for market by 2027. Although it is administered via injection, rather than in pill form, early results show a 200% higher weight loss reduction in 32 weeks, over Wegovy. Our price target for 2027 is $153.01. Although Novo Nordisk’s pipeline of new drugs under FDA review targets obesity, its revamped product menu has expanded via acquisitions. Revenues from its HGH, estrogen replacement, and wound treatment products, as well as other diabetes variants, should all contribute to the bottom line with full production, marketing, and sales integration by 2028. We predict a price of $165.26. Obesity pill Amecrytin, which acts as an appetite suppressant without the effects of amphetamines, is presently in FDA phase-1 trials, but should be cleared for market and ready for distribution in 2029. Its weight-loss efficacy doubles that of Wegovy in shorter 3-month periods, and its pill configuration convenience should make it a hit prescription for doctors. Our price target is $186.74. Novo Nordisk Stock in 2030 Ozempic is an injection administered drug. R&D for a genetic based obesity drug is currently in the works by Novo Nordisk, Eli Lilly, and several other rivals. With the obesity treatment market expected to hit $100 billion in 2030, even the announcement of a genetic-based drug ready to start FDA trials would generate significant buzz. With Novo Nordisk the current market leader, such an announcement in 2030 is not a stretch. Our target price is $192.34. Cumulatively, 24/7 Wall Street anticipates Novo Nordisk to appreciate 79% over the next 5 years. Year EPS P/E multiple Price 2025 $4.97 25 $124.20 2026 $5.46 25 $136.62 2027 $6.12 25 $153.01 2028 $6.61 25 $165.26 2029 $7.47 25 $186.74 2030 $7.69 25 $192.34 100 Million Americans Are Missing This Crucial Retirement Tool The thought of burdening your family with a financial disaster is most Americans’ nightmare. However, recent studies show that over 100 million Americans still don’t have proper life insurance in the event they pass away. Life insurance can bring peace of mind – ensuring your loved ones are safeguarded against unforeseen expenses and debts. 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Novo Nordisk Just Got One Step Closer to Resolving Wegovy Supply Issue
The proposed buyout of contract drug manufacturer Catalent won't raise competition concerns, the European Commission said.
Eli Lilly Stock Just Got Even Sweeter. Here's Why It's Worth Buying Now
According to a sneak peek of the data from one of Eli Lilly's (LLY 0.13%) late-stage clinical trials, the cardiometabolic medicine juggernaut now looks even stronger in comparison to its similarly powerful arch-rival, Novo Nordisk, (NVO 1.79%) and it isn't the first time.
Novo Nordisk A/S (NVO) Is a Trending Stock: Facts to Know Before Betting on It
Zacks.com users have recently been watching Novo Nordisk (NVO) quite a bit. Thus, it is worth knowing the facts that could determine the stock's prospects.
Novo Nordisk to cut US list prices of two insulin products by more than 70%
Danish drug maker Novo Nordisk said on Thursday it will reduce the U.S. list prices of two insulin products by more than 70% from January of 2026.
Stock Of The Day: Where Will The Eli Lilly Rally End?
Shares of Eli Lilly and Company LLY are trading higher on Wednesday. The company said that its Zepbound drug was more effective in helping adults with obesity lose weight than Novo Nordisk A/S's NVO Wegovy.
Want To Bet On Ozempic, Wegovy Success? Defiance Introduces Leveraged ETF To Capture Novo Nordisk Momentum
On Tuesday, Defiance ETFs introduced NVOX, the first single-stock leveraged ETF focused on Danish pharmaceutical giant Novo Nordisk A/S NVO.
Exclusive: Novo Nordisk India execs urge early Wegovy launch as weight-loss rival looms
Novo Nordisk's team in India has been pushing the Danish drugmaker's global leadership for an earlier launch of its popular weight-loss drug Wegovy over fears of falling behind rival Eli Lilly in the potentially huge market, two sources familiar with the plans told Reuters.
Is Novo Nordisk Stock a Buy?
Few companies garner as much reliable attention as Novo Nordisk (NVO) does these days. With a bull market coinciding with a historic run of growth for the Danish pharmaceutical giant related to its GLP-1 drugs, it's no surprise that its share prices have nearly doubled over the last three years.
