Super Micro Computer, Inc. faces pressing challenging in transitioning from Hopper to Blackwell. Inventory charges aren't surprising, given the previous prelim update. Yet, the guidance was markedly disappointing. Yet, SMCI's post-earnings decline wasn't assessed to be debilitating. Its valuation has encapsulated much pessimism.
I sold Super Micro Computer due to shrinking margins, unresolved legal risks, and distrust in management, and my rating remains a firm SELL. Q3 2025 results were surprisingly decent with $4.6 billion revenue, but margins collapsed, and inventory issues persist, impacting future performance. Management's lowered FY 2025 guidance and Q4 projections show slowing growth, with inventory tied to obsolete products, raising concerns about future profitability.
The latest trade tariff rollouts by President Trump have hit the technology sector of the United States harder than most expected. The reason is that the tariffs seem to be centered around semiconductors and chipmakers in Asian regions, which consequently hold most of the industry's supply and logistics chain.
Guidance cut and weak margins: Super Micro (SMCI) lowered guidance for both Q3 and FY 2025; gross margin dropped to 9.6% from 15.5% YoY, signaling profitability concerns. Shift from growth to value: The company's growth narrative is fading amid legal issues, trade war headwinds, and rising costs from Taiwan, repositioning SMCI as a low-margin industrial value stock. Heavy AI reliance, but margin risk: 70% of Q3 revenue came from AI GPUs, yet the company lacks pricing power like NVIDIA and faces rising COGS from Taiwan-based suppliers.
Super Micro's Q3 revenue dip to $4.6B, attributed to customer pause before Blackwell GPU adoption, masks strong underlying AI demand and sets the stage for a rebound. Despite inventory write-downs hitting Q3 EPS ($0.31), strategic clearing for Blackwell and new AMD solutions position SMCI for future margin recovery and growth. Innovative DCBBS and advanced DLC-2 liquid cooling are key differentiators, promising significant TCO savings for customers and a strong competitive moat for SMCI.
Super Micro Computer, Inc. (NASDAQ:SMCI ) Q3 2025 Earnings Conference Call May 6, 2025 5:00 PM ET Company Participants Michael Staiger - VP, IR and Corporate Development Charles Liang - Founder, President, CEO and Chairman David Weigand - SVP and CFO Conference Call Participants Samik Chatterjee - JPMorgan Michael Ng - Goldman Sachs George Wang - Barclays Asiya Merchant - Citigroup Ananda Baruah - Loop Capital Nehal Choski - Northland Jon Tanwanteng - CJS Securities Nicholas Doyle - Needham and Company Mehdi Hosseini - SIG Operator Thank you for standing by. My name is Victoria and I will be your conference operator today.
Super Micro Computer (SMCI) cut its full-year revenue outlook, sending shares lower in extended trading Tuesday.
Super Micro Computer (SMCI) came out with quarterly earnings of $0.31 per share, beating the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $0.30 per share. This compares to earnings of $0.67 per share a year ago.
The server maker cut its sales outlook for fiscal 2025, citing short-term impacts of heightened economic uncertainty and tariffs that prompted some customers to delay orders of new servers and computer products.
Super Micro's guidance fell short of expectations. Last week, the server maker issued preliminary results that were far shy of Wall Street's estimates.
Super Micro Computer trimmed its fiscal 2025 revenue expectation on Tuesday, adding to concerns around the server maker's position in the AI market after a litany of internal issues had brought on a potential delisting
The server maker said last week that quarterly results won't be as good as Wall Street had expected.