Super Micro Computer is downgraded to hold due to disappointing execution despite strong AI demand and capacity expansion narratives. SMCI reported two consecutive quarters of revenue and EPS misses, with weak guidance and falling profitability amid intensifying competition. The company's revenue growth is not translating into proportional EPS gains, raising concerns about operational leverage and cost control.
Super Micro Computer Inc (NASDAQ:SMCI) shares fell more than 7% after it reported fiscal first quarter 2026 results that came in below Wall Street expectations, with both revenue and earnings down from the prior year. For the quarter ended September 30, 2025, the company posted net sales of $5 billion, down from $5.9 billion in the year-ago quarter and below analyst estimates of around $6 billion.
Super Micro Computer (SMCI) has persistent earnings misses, and this quarter is not an exception. SMCI's management has a history of overpromising and underdelivering, with shrinking margins and heavy reliance on NVIDIA as a major risk. Despite strong revenue growth potential and large NVIDIA-related orders, SMCI's lack of pricing power and management trust remain concerns.
Super Micro Computer's shares slipped more than 9% in premarket trading on Wednesday after the artificial intelligence (AI)-focused server maker missed quarterly profit and revenue estimates, citing delayed deliveries tied to design changes.
While Super Micro Computer reported Q1/FY2026 results in line with the company's October 23 preannouncement, results came in well short of management's original expectations. However, with recent large-scale project wins expected to ramp up in the current quarter, revenues are expected to more than double on a sequential basis. Unfortunately, the company's recent order momentum has come at the expense of margins, which are expected to drop by another 300 basis points this quarter.
Super Micro Computer, Inc. ( SMCI ) Q1 2026 Earnings Call November 4, 2025 5:00 PM EST Company Participants Michael Staiger - Senior Vice President of Corporate Development Charles Liang - Founder, Chairman of the Board, President & CEO David Weigand - Senior VP, CFO, Company Secretary & Chief Compliance Officer Conference Call Participants Asiya Merchant - Citigroup Inc., Research Division Ananda Baruah - Loop Capital Markets LLC, Research Division Ruplu Bhattacharya - BofA Securities, Research Division Nehal Chokshi - Northland Capital Markets, Research Division Shadi Mitwalli - Needham & Company, LLC, Research Division Jonathan Tanwanteng - CJS Securities, Inc. Mark Newman - Sanford C. Bernstein & Co., LLC.
Super Micro Computer reported weaker-than-expected results for the fiscal first quarter. The stock plummeted in extended trading even though the company issued preliminary results last month to prepare investors for what was coming.
The server maker now expects revenue for fiscal 2026 to hit at least $36 billion amid rising AI-related demand for Nvidia-equipped servers.
Super Micro continued to exhibit margin pressure in the latest quarter, reflecting a competitive server market.
Given the positivity of the Q3 cycle so far, is it reasonable to expect the AI player to keep the momentum rolling? Sales growth is forecasted to be negative for the first time in years.
Despite the October 23 8-K cutting preliminary FQ1 revenue to $5B, Super Micro Computer, Inc. management reiterated ≥$33B FY26 and cited >$12B in new FQ2 design wins. The SMCI downgrade was due to a timing issue and not a cancellation of GB300 rack orders. The Street is still optimistic on the top-line growth from FQ2 onwards. On the execution front, I'll look for reported capacity above 30MW, to confirm throughput sufficient to deliver contracted racks.
After a year of meteoric gains, shares of Super Micro Computer NASDAQ: SMCI are caught in a tug-of-war between a jarring short-term financial update and a series of powerful long-term strategic announcements. The company's upcoming Nov. 4 earnings call has become a critical inflection point, where management must prove its hyper-growth artificial intelligence (AI) story is not just intact but accelerating.