It's been a wild six months for Super Micro Computer (SMCI 13.32%).
The server maker's shares rallied last week after a second-quarter business update, but that doesn't mean it's in the clear yet.
SMCI missed revenue estimates for the Dec'24 quarter and also revenue guidance estimates for Mar'25 and FY25. But I am bullish due to a 65% growth outlook for FY26. Margin erosion is a headwind and although there are positive catalysts ahead associated with new Blackwell products, I am unsure about whether those margin boosts would be permanent. Valuations have corrected sharply closer to longer-term averages. SMCI stock trades at a ~30% premium to those averages currently, but this is justified given >60% YoY growth ahead.
Super Micro Computer (SMCI 13.32%) shares have continued to be extremely volatile, with the stock surging ahead of its preliminary earnings report, only to dip nearly 10% the session before its report. The stock then bounced around following the announcement of its result.
Super Micro Computer's (SMCI 13.32%) management team elaborated on its financial statement filings.
Super Micro reported strong 2Q25 results, easing investor concerns about Nasdaq delisting and showing solid sales growth despite softening margins. The company anticipates meeting Nasdaq's compliance deadline by filing overdue financial reports by February 25, 2025, boosting investor confidence. Super Micro's direct-liquid cooling technology is driving robust sales growth, with a positive outlook for data center market expansion.
Super Micro Computer (SMCI 9.37%) stock is posting another day of big gains in Friday's trading. The server specialist's share price was up 9.5% as of 1:40 p.m.
Super Micro Computer, Inc. reported mixed Q2 results but remains bullish on 2025, driven by Nvidia Blackwell products and AI infrastructure spending. The February 25th deadline for releasing delayed financials is crucial, with potential outcomes ranging from delisting to minimal amendments. SMCI's stock could either soar to $100 or plummet to $10, making it a high-risk, high-reward investment.
Earnings season has given us a better feel on the AI outlook, with several of the Mag 7 companies doubling down on their rich CapEx plans concerning their infrastructure build outs.
Super Micro Computer, Inc. investors have avoided getting hammered further, as I explained why its November lows have held on resiliently. The market has turned its attention to Blackwell production ramp, diverting its attention from the company's delayed regulatory filings. SMCI still faces a race to meet its compliance with Nasdaq listing requirements, suggesting the coast isn't clear yet.
The AI server maker finally gave investors some hope this week.
The YieldMax SMCI Option Income Strategy ETF launched in September 2024, tracking Super Micro Computer, with a current AUM of approximately $112M. SMCY offers an estimated annual dividend yield of over 97%, generated from an underlying synthetic option strategy against SMCI. Investors can use SMCY as a way to capitalize on SMCI's price volatility and uncertainty; timing entry when SMCI stabilizes could make SMCY more attractive.