Shares of tech stock Atlassian Corp NASDAQ: TEAM are trading right around $130, after starting the year above $160. Considering the S&P 500 index is up more than 1% over that same timeframe, it's been a pretty brutal start to the year for investors.
Atlassian shares have dropped over 25% amid AI-driven fears, but fundamentals remain robust. AI agents may automate tasks but cannot replace Atlassian's core functions, such as data ownership and complex workflows, reinforcing TEAM's competitive moat. Significant switching costs and embedded cloud data reduce customer attrition risk, supporting long-term value and resilience against AI disruption.
The announcement of Anthropic's Claude Cowork triggered a massive contraction in SaaS multiples since January 12, with concerns over Agentic AI disrupting seat-based pricing models. Despite high-teens projected earnings growth and product innovation with Rovo, Atlassian Corporation's forward P/E ratio has collapsed by over 70% in a year. Q2 FY26 guidance anticipates 20%+ revenue and earnings growth, but investors demand evidence of meaningful AI monetization and pricing model traction.
Atlassian Corporation continues robust growth in Q1 2026, with accelerating growth in remaining performance obligations to $3.3B. TEAM's AI-driven product suite, including Teamwork Graph and recent acquisitions, positions it for next-generation enterprise productivity leadership. Despite a premium 7.8x P/S valuation, TEAM offers superior growth compared to peers and significant free cash flow margins.
The mean of analysts' price targets for Atlassian (TEAM) points to a 44.8% upside in the stock. While this highly sought-after metric has not proven reasonably effective, strong agreement among analysts in raising earnings estimates does indicate an upside in the stock.
Cloud computing demand is surging, and Amazon, Atlassian and Cloudflare stand out with strong growth drivers, rising estimates and solid rankings before 2026.
Atlassian is rated a Buy at $162, with the stock down 26% despite strong cloud and AI-driven growth. TEAM posted 21% revenue growth, 26% cloud revenue growth, and beat EPS estimates by $0.20, yet market skepticism persists over losses and R&D intensity. Gross margins are robust at 83.5%, with over 300,000 customers and a highly recurring subscription base driving future profitability potential.
The mean of analysts' price targets for Atlassian (TEAM) points to a 50.4% upside in the stock. While this highly sought-after metric has not proven reasonably effective, strong agreement among analysts in raising earnings estimates does indicate an upside in the stock.
FIG's AI-driven design tools and growing customer adoption shine, but TEAM's stronger enterprise traction and rising AI usage make it the more compelling pick.
Atlassian's strong product ecosystem and recurring revenue model support long-term growth and customer retention. The company's ongoing investments in cloud migration and innovation drive competitive advantage and expansion opportunities. Valuation remains elevated, but TEAM's robust fundamentals and market leadership justify a positive long-term outlook.
Atlassian shares have fallen ~30% YTD, but current AI fears are overblown, and fundamentals remain strong. TEAM raised guidance, posted 21% revenue growth, and continues to see robust cloud adoption and AI-driven expansion. Valuation is attractive: TEAM trades at a discount to peers despite strong margins, free cash flow, and a large addressable market.
The average of price targets set by Wall Street analysts indicates a potential upside of 33.6% in Atlassian (TEAM). While the effectiveness of this highly sought-after metric is questionable, the positive trend in earnings estimate revisions might translate into an upside in the stock.